Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 24, 2018

November 24, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Flammetta 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 One Fast Broad 4.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Pulpit Rider 6.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Zaffinah (IRE) 8.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Jazaalah 4.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 English Dancer 3.50 4.8 9-1
1 1 Wicked Storm 8.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Melissa Jane (GB) 15.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Gray Magician 2.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Harmon 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 Alleva 3.00 3 6-1
2 2 Highlight Reel 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Asano 6.00 5 9-1
3 3 Royal Insider 8.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cimpl Man 4.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Tough It Out 3.50 3.2 6-1
8 8 Acker 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Oiseau de Guerre 5.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Tartini 6.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Trojan Spirit 8.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Terrys Tom Cat 8.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Taki’s Choice 8.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Erotic 8.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Seeking Refuge 2.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Damiano 1.80 2.8 5-1
1 1 Runningwscissors 5.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Diamond Blitz 3.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Drinks All Around 8.00 5 9-1
2 2 Ohtani 8.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Jimmy Durante S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Posh Holly (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Lakerball 4.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Pivottina (FR) 3.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Monette (FR) 4.00 3.6 7-1
11 10 Courteous 15.00 5 9-1
8 8 Creative Instinct 15.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Thriving (GB) 8.00 6.5 12-1
12 11 Velvet Queen 15.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Italia (SPA) 8.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Elsa 20.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Cedars of Lebanon (IRE) 12.00 7.8 15-1
13 12 Discreet Diva 30.00 8.8 17-1
9 9 Kookie Gal 20.00 9.1 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lord Guinness 8.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Popular Kid 3.00 2.3 4-1
8 7 Sheer Flattery 3.50 3.1 6-1
7 6 Giant Influence 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 3 Jungle Warfare 4.00 3.9 7-1
3 2 Kershaw 6.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Jan’s Reserve 15.00 6.2 12-1
6 5 Bellerin 15.00 6.4 12-1
9 8 Canadian Game 12.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Seabiscuit H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ann Arbor Eddie 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Big Score 6.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Synchrony 4.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 Caribou Club 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Pincheck (IRE) 5.00 5.3 10-1
12 12 He Will 8.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Kenjisstorm 8.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Ohio (BRZ) 8.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Madame Stripes (ARG) 15.00 7 13-1
9 9 Le Ken (ARG) 20.00 7.7 15-1
5 5 Holiday Stone 12.00 8.4 16-1
11 11 Secretary At War 20.00 10.3 20-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Smuggler Union 6.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Spokane Eagle 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Face of Victory 3.50 3 6-1
3 2 Tanners Pride 5.00 4.6 9-1
7 6 Psychedelicat 6.00 5.2 10-1
2 1 Will Tell 20.00 5.5 10-1
9 8 Downside Up 12.00 5.5 10-1
8 7 Zippy Groom 6.00 5.7 11-1
4 3 Silver Summer 15.00 5.8 11-1
10 9 Our Tiger’s Boy 15.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Bako Sweets 4.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Time for Ebby 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Easy Grader 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Helen’s Tiger 4.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Naughty Sophie 3.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Suspicious Spouse 6.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Kentan Road 8.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Ladybug 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Well Hello 6.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Batiquitos 6.00 5.6 10-1
7 7 Happiness 8.00 7.8 15-1
4 4 Gone to Town 12.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Hailey Rachele 20.00 8 15-1
2 2 Fracas 20.00 8.2 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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