November 24, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Flammetta | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Fast Broad | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pulpit Rider | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Zaffinah (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jazaalah | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | English Dancer | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Storm | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Melissa Jane (GB) | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gray Magician | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Harmon | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Alleva | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Highlight Reel | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Asano | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Insider | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Cimpl Man | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tough It Out | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Acker | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oiseau de Guerre | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tartini | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trojan Spirit | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Terrys Tom Cat | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Taki’s Choice | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Erotic | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Seeking Refuge | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Damiano | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Runningwscissors | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Diamond Blitz | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Drinks All Around | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ohtani | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Jimmy Durante S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Posh Holly (IRE) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Lakerball | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pivottina (FR) | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Monette (FR) | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Courteous | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Creative Instinct | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thriving (GB) | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Velvet Queen | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Italia (SPA) | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Elsa | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cedars of Lebanon (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Discreet Diva | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kookie Gal | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lord Guinness | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Popular Kid | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sheer Flattery | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Giant Influence | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jungle Warfare | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kershaw | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jan’s Reserve | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bellerin | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Canadian Game | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Seabiscuit H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ann Arbor Eddie | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Score | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Synchrony | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caribou Club | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pincheck (IRE) | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | He Will | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kenjisstorm | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ohio (BRZ) | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Madame Stripes (ARG) | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Le Ken (ARG) | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holiday Stone | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Secretary At War | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Smuggler Union | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Spokane Eagle | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Face of Victory | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tanners Pride | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Psychedelicat | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Will Tell | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Downside Up | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Zippy Groom | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Silver Summer | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Our Tiger’s Boy | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Bako Sweets | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Time for Ebby | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Easy Grader | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Helen’s Tiger | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Naughty Sophie | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Suspicious Spouse | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kentan Road | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ladybug | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Well Hello | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Batiquitos | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Happiness | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gone to Town | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hailey Rachele | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fracas | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.