November 24, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Double Deep | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Infield Is In | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cookie Crisp | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Call Me | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Confederation | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Shipsandgoods | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Abeja Negra | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | No Deal | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Crossing | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sacrifice | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Burkey’s Babe | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flying Pleasantly | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Way Over Budget | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Montana Skeptic | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Loverboy Lou | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mihos | 0.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | U R Not So Bad | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mutakaamil | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jake Rocks | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Deft | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shiraz | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ghost Giant | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Frisky Magician | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Catch a Cab | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | T Loves a Fight | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Discretionary Marq | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Whatstotalkabout | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Stoney Bennett | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Outrageous Bet | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 5 | Speightful Kitten | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | We Should Talk | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | The Crocheron Kid | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 6 | Ethan Hunt | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bernardino | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Riendo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Jimmy Jazz | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | U S S Archerfish | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Pirelli Tower | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | La Manche | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Well in Tune | 30.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Curly | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Kavansberg | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Scrutinize | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Discovery S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Roaming Union | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Life’s a Parlay | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Bal Harbour | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Plainsman | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Gronkowski | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Title Ready | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Bon Raison | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Aqueduct Turf Sprint Championship S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Axtell | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Coal Front | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Disco Partner | 1.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Blind Ambition | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | White Flag | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dubini | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hembree | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kitten’s Cat | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fielder | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tommy T | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fully Vested | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Identity Politics | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sharpe and Ready | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Caretaker | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American Rule | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bluegrass Express | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Thunder’s Honor | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Long Island S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sexy Reasons (ARG) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Matty’s Magnum | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Unbridledadventure | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Tricky Escape | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Montdore | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pollara (IRE) | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lady Paname (FR) | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Golden Attitude | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Violet Blue | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Danceland | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Night of England (GB) | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gipoia (FR) | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pamina | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Si Que Es Buena (ARG) | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Abraxan | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16A | 16 | Little Song | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Fight On Lucy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Valencia Vale | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Mike’s Girl | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pioneerof New York | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jot | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8A | 8 | Draiocht | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Trumpit | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tempers Way | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tappanzee | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mz Seb Pat | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vinda Machine | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flat Out Funky | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Button Candy | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Centrall | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.