Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 24, 2018

November 24, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Double Deep 1.20 SCRATCH
2 2 Infield Is In 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 5 Cookie Crisp 6.00 2.9 6-1
5 4 Call Me 3.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Confederation 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Shipsandgoods 12.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Abeja Negra 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 No Deal 1.60 2.3 4-1
1 1 Midnight Crossing 6.00 3 6-1
3 3 Sacrifice 2.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Burkey’s Babe 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Flying Pleasantly 15.00 5.4 10-1
8 7 Way Over Budget 15.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Montana Skeptic 15.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Loverboy Lou 4.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Mihos 0.80 2.8 5-1
6 6 U R Not So Bad 3.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Mutakaamil 5.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Jake Rocks 12.00 5 9-1
3 3 Deft 10.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shiraz 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Ghost Giant 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Frisky Magician 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Catch a Cab 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 T Loves a Fight 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Discretionary Marq 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Whatstotalkabout 8.00 SCRATCH
4 2 Stoney Bennett 2.00 2.1 4-1
3 1 Outrageous Bet 4.00 3 6-1
11 5 Speightful Kitten 10.00 4.3 8-1
8 4 We Should Talk 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 3 The Crocheron Kid 15.00 4.4 8-1
12 6 Ethan Hunt 12.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bernardino 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Riendo 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Jimmy Jazz 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 U S S Archerfish 10.00 SCRATCH
6 4 Pirelli Tower 1.60 2.1 4-1
4 3 La Manche 15.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Well in Tune 30.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Uncle Curly 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 5 Kavansberg 30.00 5 9-1
9 6 Scrutinize 30.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Discovery S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Roaming Union 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Life’s a Parlay 3.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Bal Harbour 10.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Plainsman 2.00 2.3 4-1
6 4 Gronkowski 1.80 2.6 5-1
1 1 Title Ready 8.00 3.2 6-1
5 3 Bon Raison 10.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Aqueduct Turf Sprint Championship S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Axtell 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Coal Front 1.60 SCRATCH
9 7 Disco Partner 1.00 2.3 4-1
5 4 Blind Ambition 3.00 3.1 6-1
8 6 White Flag 4.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Dubini 15.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Hembree 8.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Kitten’s Cat 12.00 5 9-1
6 5 Fielder 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Tommy T 2.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Fully Vested 3.00 3 6-1
3 3 Identity Politics 4.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Sharpe and Ready 5.00 4 8-1
6 6 The Caretaker 8.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 American Rule 12.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Bluegrass Express 12.00 6 11-1
5 5 Thunder’s Honor 15.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Long Island S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Sexy Reasons (ARG) 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Matty’s Magnum 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Unbridledadventure 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Tricky Escape 8.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Lady Montdore 3.50 4.1 8-1
1 1 Pollara (IRE) 3.00 4.4 8-1
10 9 Lady Paname (FR) 4.50 4.5 9-1
12 11 Golden Attitude 10.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Violet Blue 20.00 6 11-1
7 7 Danceland 12.00 6.6 12-1
11 10 Night of England (GB) 6.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Gipoia (FR) 15.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 Pamina 20.00 7.9 15-1
4 4 Si Que Es Buena (ARG) 20.00 8.2 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Abraxan 2.00 SCRATCH
16A 16 Little Song 4.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Fight On Lucy 4.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Valencia Vale 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Mike’s Girl 3.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Pioneerof New York 5.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Jot 8.00 4.6 9-1
8A 8 Draiocht 4.50 4.8 9-1
12 12 Trumpit 12.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Tempers Way 6.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Tappanzee 15.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Mz Seb Pat 15.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Vinda Machine 6.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Flat Out Funky 20.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Button Candy 30.00 9.1 17-1
11 11 Centrall 20.00 10.2 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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