November 23, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Peace Treaty Pat | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tencentmartinimary | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Brenda | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Dove | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wind Zee | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tensas Brandy | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Strikingly Smart | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz Darby | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Humorous Kitten | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fiduciary Values | 1.40 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rachael Got Even | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Altered Dream | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fostering Harmony | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | You Could Be Mine | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Soco Unbridled | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hallowed Lassie | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Salute My Lady | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Soaring Now | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spanish Arch | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Catty Krys | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smooth as Bourbon | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I. Damiana | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Star Too | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ultra Arumba (BRZ) | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Antarctic | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carbonated | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nobutzaboutit | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kaliningrad | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Moon Unit | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Les Paul | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pancho’s Lucky Boy | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Im the Best I Know | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Civil | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unbridled Honey | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | Ice Crush | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Mister Harvey | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Northcut | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fair Shot | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dad Said No | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 4 | Buddy Rocket | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 3 | Orbilogy | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2B | 8 | Hicks Is Lit | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Woman With a Book | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Comebackwilson | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Got Gold | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Chicago Blues | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Humor | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chocolate Ride | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Senor Blanco | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heat Flash | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Irish Prospector | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Gary D | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aces High | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stormy Pacific | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Eskendar | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lool Beh | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Idle Hour | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Girlfriend Rocket | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dynamite Daughters | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Arkansas Alley | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Precious Arch | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | City Candy | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Zanesville | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tigers Rule | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Compass Zone | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Morning Stride | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Belomor | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Son of a Saint | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dontblamerocket | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Monster Bea | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zeke | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Potomac River | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Student Body Left | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Rhettever | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Treys Midnite Moon | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lookingforroses | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Zephyr | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tylers Bandit | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | War Letters | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Christopher Cat | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Little Mario | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bet On Black | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Whathadhappenwuz | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.