Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 23, 2018

November 23, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Peace Treaty Pat 3.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Tencentmartinimary 4.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Miss Brenda 3.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Silver Dove 5.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Wind Zee 6.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Tensas Brandy 6.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Strikingly Smart 12.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Tiz Darby 12.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Humorous Kitten 4.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Fiduciary Values 1.40 2.9 6-1
1 1 Rachael Got Even 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Altered Dream 5.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Fostering Harmony 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 You Could Be Mine 6.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Soco Unbridled 12.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Hallowed Lassie 30.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Salute My Lady 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Soaring Now 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Spanish Arch 5.00 3 6-1
5 5 Catty Krys 2.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Smooth as Bourbon 8.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 I. Damiana 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 7 Star Too 4.50 5 9-1
6 6 Ultra Arumba (BRZ) 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Antarctic 2.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Carbonated 3.50 2.7 5-1
4 4 Nobutzaboutit 5.00 4 8-1
6 6 Kaliningrad 8.00 5.2 10-1
10 10 Moon Unit 5.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Les Paul 30.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Pancho’s Lucky Boy 8.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Im the Best I Know 10.00 6.6 13-1
8 8 Civil 12.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Unbridled Honey 30.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 3 Ice Crush 8.00 SCRATCH
4 2 Mister Harvey 2.50 2.9 6-1
3 1 Northcut 4.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Fair Shot 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Dad Said No 3.50 4.6 9-1
1A 4 Buddy Rocket 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 3 Orbilogy 8.00 5.3 10-1
2B 8 Hicks Is Lit 8.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Woman With a Book 6.00 5.7 11-1
8 9 Comebackwilson 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Got Gold 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Chicago Blues 4.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Humor 5.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Chocolate Ride 2.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Senor Blanco 4.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Heat Flash 5.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Irish Prospector 15.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Mr. Gary D 15.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Aces High 10.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Stormy Pacific 10.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Eskendar 2.50 2.9 5-1
6 6 Lool Beh 4.50 4 8-1
2 2 Idle Hour 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Girlfriend Rocket 3.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Dynamite Daughters 8.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Arkansas Alley 6.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Precious Arch 10.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 City Candy 8.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Zanesville 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Tigers Rule 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Compass Zone 4.00 3 6-1
3 3 Morning Stride 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Belomor 15.00 4.3 8-1
8 7 Son of a Saint 4.50 4.5 9-1
10 9 Dontblamerocket 3.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 Monster Bea 6.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Zeke 15.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Potomac River 15.00 6.4 12-1
9 8 Student Body Left 10.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Rhettever 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Treys Midnite Moon 2.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Lookingforroses 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Silver Zephyr 4.50 4.1 8-1
3 3 Tylers Bandit 20.00 5 9-1
9 9 War Letters 5.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Christopher Cat 8.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Little Mario 20.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Bet On Black 20.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Whathadhappenwuz 20.00 7.2 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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