Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 22, 2018

November 22, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Lil Kylie 3.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Speak Briley 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Arch’s Li’l Nieta 3.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Interslew 10.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Charlotte’s Wish 5.00 5 9-1
7 7 Toga Dance 6.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Our Lady’s Prayer 12.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Time Key 6.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Liz’s Legend 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Tube Sox Rock 3.50 3 6-1
5 5 So Dramatic 3.00 3 6-1
1 1 Senorita Tapit 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Just Perfection 3.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Squatchingwithlyss 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Kinky Kim 6.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Cooler Schedule 8.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Khaleesi’s Gift 3.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Weavemeawinr 5.00 4 8-1
3 3 Hannah Banana 6.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Creole Wildfire 15.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Much to Do 15.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 L. A. Ready 5.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 L L L College Fund 4.50 5.5 10-1
7 7 Daylight Deelite 8.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Cheryl’s Copy 20.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Thats Roger Song 8.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Addaichi 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Vinyl 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 5 No Boundaries 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Great Sky 8.00 4.4 8-1
8 7 My Man Jax 5.00 4.6 9-1
7 6 Causeur 8.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Guitar King 10.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Jonamin 20.00 6.5 12-1
9 8 Bevolution 8.00 6.5 12-1
10 9 Go for Moonshine 10.00 7.1 14-1
11 10 Operator 10.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Where Y’at Joe Joe 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 State Treasurer 5.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 John’s Luck 5.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Zenucci 3.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Farewell Time 6.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Masterly 5.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Queeten 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 C Islandsurprise 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Dubara (GB) 2.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Hey Negrita 3.50 2.9 5-1
5 5 Little Code 4.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Amity 8.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Superioritycomplex (IRE) 4.50 5 9-1
7 7 Ruby Sioux 6.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 N. D. Free 30.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Roussalka 12.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 My Girl Rocket 3.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 In Charge Annie 3.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Royal Angel 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Sacred Lady 8.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Little Gemma 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Neva’s Gal 6.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Oxbowindy 12.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Eres Tu 6.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Nate’s Attack 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Reverend Aj 8.00 SCRATCH
4 2 Ecru 4.50 3.3 6-1
9 7 Zumurudee 2.50 3.7 7-1
5 3 Twoko Bay 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 1 Broth 12.00 4.2 8-1
8 6 Harlan Selection (ARG) 6.00 4.9 9-1
6 4 Prolific 15.00 5.6 11-1
10 8 Alittlevodka 10.00 6 11-1
11 9 Kingsville 12.00 6.5 12-1
7 5 Kitten Street 20.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Thanksgiving H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kid Perfect 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Balandeen 12.00 SCRATCH
7 5 C Z Rocket 2.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Wynn Time 3.50 3.4 7-1
9 7 Switzerland 3.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Colonelsdarktemper 20.00 4.8 9-1
8 6 Chublicious 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 3 Rivers Run Deep 15.00 5.2 10-1
10 8 Proforma 10.00 5.4 10-1
6 4 Majestic Affair 15.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Chuck Willis (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Hawaiian Noises 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Mine Inspector 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Tom’s Last General 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Drew’s Shot 20.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Credit Swap 3.50 2.8 5-1
4 3 Gins and Tins 4.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Wakefield 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 Assemblyman 4.50 4 7-1
10 9 All American Hero 6.00 5.7 11-1
3 2 Chroniqueur 20.00 5.7 11-1
7 6 Ice Peak 12.00 6.3 12-1
9 8 E Rated 8.00 6.4 12-1
8 7 Giant Mesa 20.00 7.2 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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