Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 22, 2018

November 22, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mats Checkride 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Galadriel’s Light 3.50 3 6-1
5 5 Lem Me Have It 1.20 3.3 6-1
6 6 Awesome Alana 2.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Fika 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Gattino Marrone 10.00 4 8-1
4 4 Bella Via Mi Amor 15.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Aly’s All Out 8.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Elizabeth Nicole 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 4 Orchid Party 1.40 3 6-1
6 5 Mercurian 2.50 3.6 7-1
3 2 Shanghai Glory 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 3 Eight Minute Ellie 20.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Letzgometz 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Capt. Courageous 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Awesome Adversary 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Jet for Andy 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Exchange Fever 4.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Wicked Grin 2.50 3.3 6-1
11 8 Bobby Man 2.00 3.9 7-1
14 9 Beach Front 3.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 Bydawnsearlylight 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Ticked All Daboxes 15.00 5.4 10-1
6 5 Worth a Shot 3.50 5.7 11-1
16 11 Iron Fork 3.00 5.9 11-1
4 3 Craigville Beach 15.00 6.5 12-1
9 7 Appointment 10.00 7.2 14-1
15 10 Seed Money 8.00 7.8 15-1
7 6 No More Miracles 15.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Eddie Boy 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Tom’s Music 20.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Fox Red 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Hot Mesa 6.00 3.5 7-1
8 7 Hot Sriracha 1.40 3.8 7-1
7 6 Party On Prospect 5.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Somebody 8.00 4.5 9-1
4 3 Blue Skies Forever 15.00 5 9-1
6 5 Flat Out Jayvien 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 One More Tom 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Dark Ops 1.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Blame the Thief 3.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Three to Thirteen 4.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Proletariat 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Take It to Scale 6.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Hokulea 15.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Wisely 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Ding Dong Ditch 4.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Letterman 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Quality Choice 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Indurate 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 A I Initiative 2.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Wicked Trick 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Mysterio 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Fearless Foe 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Looking At U Kid 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Novus 8.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Wild William 10.00 3.4 6-1
16 6 Metaphorical 5.00 3.4 6-1
6 4 Support Our Cause 8.00 3.6 7-1
10 5 Call the Cat 15.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Bob in Our Midst 30.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Central Park S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Wallace 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Order and Law 2.50 2.6 5-1
5 4 Empire of War 1.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Market Bubble 8.00 3.4 6-1
7 6 Five Star General 5.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Doups Point 12.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Good Good 12.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Fall Highweight H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lewisfield 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Mesotherm 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Command Post 6.00 SCRATCH
5 2 Runaway Lute 3.50 2.1 4-1
4 1 Celtic Chaos 4.50 3.2 6-1
9 6 Heartwood 4.00 3.8 7-1
7 4 Always Sunshine 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 3 Win With Pride 15.00 4.5 9-1
8 5 Life in Shambles 8.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Winter Memories S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Bellerue 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Capla Temptress (IRE) 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Kreesie 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Queen of Connaught (GB) 20.00 SCRATCH
12 8 Matty’s Magnum 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 2 Competitionofideas 3.50 3.3 6-1
11 7 Significant Form 2.50 3.9 7-1
4 3 Andina Del Sur 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 4 Got Stormy 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Souper Striking 20.00 4.9 9-1
10 6 Romantic Moment 12.00 6 11-1
7 5 Semper Sententiae 15.00 6 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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