Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, November 21, 2018

November 21, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dueforadate 4.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Yankee’s Fanny 3.50 3.6 7-1
8 8 My Madelyns On 2.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Notimeforchitchat 12.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Somethingroyal P 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Kim’s Wilcat 8.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Wild Bottom Blues 4.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Salesgirl 12.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Kohensrising 30.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Flat Out Love 15.00 SCRATCH
1 3 Bode’s Maker 2.00 2 4-1
1A 7 Blended Lute 2.00 2.6 5-1
3 2 Late Nite Mischief 2.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Dry Levee 8.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Whatdatpay Ray 4.00 5.1 10-1
2 1 Lord Colliery 15.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 General Basil Duke 10.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Mug Shot Man 8.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Nash Lee Security 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Song for Heddings 3.50 2.5 5-1
6 5 Glorieta 2.00 3.1 6-1
4 3 Sweet Prayers 5.00 3.7 7-1
3 2 Miss Billie K 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Ranger Connection 10.00 4.8 9-1
7 6 Victorious Gold 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 7 Miss Loveinsky 15.00 6.4 12-1
9 8 Smoothoutthetrack 20.00 7.7 15-1
10 9 Her Great Grandpa 15.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Little Mario 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Run Peck Run 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Forestdungone 2.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Confederate Yell 4.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Inagent 10.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Black Justice 3.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Robert’s Prince 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Personal Double 15.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Andy’s Production 12.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Cajun Dude 8.00 6.6 12-1
5 5 Betabearly 15.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Mack’s Champ 20.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Love Davos 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Headstrong Woman 4.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Singmebackhome 5.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Mitch’s Pins 2.50 4.1 8-1
7 7 Fly Well 4.50 4.5 9-1
1 1 Peach’s Swan Song 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Trappe Me 10.00 5.7 11-1
10 10 Sarah Ann’s Pointe 6.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Crider City 15.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Stream 20.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Smokey Rose 30.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Annie Had a Baby 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Along Came Macey 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Elegant Idea 5.00 2.8 5-1
5 4 Baby Customs 3.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Like a Haint 2.00 3.7 7-1
4 3 Ole Black Magic 6.00 4.1 8-1
3 2 Royal Force 15.00 5.2 10-1
8 7 Breeze of Cinnamon 10.00 5.5 10-1
10 9 Hot Yankee 12.00 6.2 12-1
6 5 Spirit of a Cat 15.00 6.6 12-1
9 8 Heaven’s Devil 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 All About Clara 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Flatoutandfoxy 2.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Navy Regatta 6.00 3.9 7-1
9 8 Varlebena 3.50 4.2 8-1
6 5 Distinct Flirt 4.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Lily’s Pose 8.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Mysterious Kingdom 12.00 5.2 10-1
8 7 Golden Cowgirl 5.00 5.5 10-1
7 6 Prime Patriot 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Much to Do 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Laura’s Pick 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Active Girl 3.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Daddy Boat 6.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Kelley’s Dream 2.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Byanymeans 4.50 5.1 10-1
3 3 Cool Deal 15.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Sawyers Gray Girl 10.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 High Def Ridge 15.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 She’s a Penalty 20.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 My Pal Em 8.00 7 13-1
7 7 Palmettovowmenot 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Fender Baby 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Glitz N Glam 4.50 3 6-1
5 5 Sixteen Punches 2.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Cool Spring 3.50 4 7-1
4 4 Gg’s Gracefulgabby 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Elusive Pal 12.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Lucky Taylor 8.00 4.5 9-1
8 7 Sharp Henny 20.00 6.4 12-1
9 8 Doc’s Rocket 30.00 7.1 13-1
10 9 Scottish Bu 20.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Hold Me Kat 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Cracker Jackson 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Pointman 1.80 3.7 7-1
5 5 Zipzaptime 3.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Talkothtown 3.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Gotta A. P. B. 10.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Ray’s King 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Aces Destiny 20.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Itsa Flashmob 30.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Spotapotamus 12.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Deputy Crook 15.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Louisiana Wildcat 15.00 7.5 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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