November 21, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Dueforadate |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Yankee’s Fanny |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
My Madelyns On |
2.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Notimeforchitchat |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Somethingroyal P |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Kim’s Wilcat |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Wild Bottom Blues |
4.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Salesgirl |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kohensrising |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Flat Out Love |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
3 |
Bode’s Maker |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
1A |
7 |
Blended Lute |
2.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
2 |
Late Nite Mischief |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dry Levee |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Whatdatpay Ray |
4.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
1 |
Lord Colliery |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
General Basil Duke |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Mug Shot Man |
8.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Nash Lee Security |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Song for Heddings |
3.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Glorieta |
2.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Sweet Prayers |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
2 |
Miss Billie K |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Ranger Connection |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Victorious Gold |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Miss Loveinsky |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
9 |
8 |
Smoothoutthetrack |
20.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
10 |
9 |
Her Great Grandpa |
15.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Little Mario |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Run Peck Run |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Forestdungone |
2.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Confederate Yell |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Inagent |
10.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Black Justice |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Robert’s Prince |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Personal Double |
15.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Andy’s Production |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cajun Dude |
8.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Betabearly |
15.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
10 |
10 |
Mack’s Champ |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Love Davos |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Headstrong Woman |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Singmebackhome |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Mitch’s Pins |
2.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fly Well |
4.50 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Peach’s Swan Song |
12.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Trappe Me |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sarah Ann’s Pointe |
6.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Crider City |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Stream |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Smokey Rose |
30.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Annie Had a Baby |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Along Came Macey |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Elegant Idea |
5.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
5 |
4 |
Baby Customs |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Like a Haint |
2.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Ole Black Magic |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
2 |
Royal Force |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
Breeze of Cinnamon |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
10 |
9 |
Hot Yankee |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
5 |
Spirit of a Cat |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
9 |
8 |
Heaven’s Devil |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
All About Clara |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Flatoutandfoxy |
2.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Navy Regatta |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
8 |
Varlebena |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Distinct Flirt |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lily’s Pose |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mysterious Kingdom |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
Golden Cowgirl |
5.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
6 |
Prime Patriot |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Much to Do |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Laura’s Pick |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Active Girl |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Daddy Boat |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Kelley’s Dream |
2.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Byanymeans |
4.50 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cool Deal |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sawyers Gray Girl |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
High Def Ridge |
15.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
She’s a Penalty |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
My Pal Em |
8.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Palmettovowmenot |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Fender Baby |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Glitz N Glam |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sixteen Punches |
2.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cool Spring |
3.50 |
4 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Gg’s Gracefulgabby |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Elusive Pal |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lucky Taylor |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Sharp Henny |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
9 |
8 |
Doc’s Rocket |
30.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
10 |
9 |
Scottish Bu |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Hold Me Kat |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Cracker Jackson |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Pointman |
1.80 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Zipzaptime |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Talkothtown |
3.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gotta A. P. B. |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ray’s King |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Aces Destiny |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Itsa Flashmob |
30.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Spotapotamus |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Deputy Crook |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Louisiana Wildcat |
15.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.