Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, November 19, 2018

November 19, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 4 Sr.’s Thrill 6.00 SCRATCH
1A 6 Mission Oberon 6.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Charming Bobby 1.50 SCRATCH
3 1 Free for Nothing 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 2 Marty McFly 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 4 Maxwell Tyler B 10.00 3.8 7-1
7 5 Trusted Redemption 15.00 4.4 8-1
5 3 Carpenter 30.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Partner’s Power 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Treasury Stock 1.60 2.1 4-1
1 1 Seventyseven Force 2.50 2.4 5-1
6 5 Brilliant Worth 4.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Cloudy Saturday 12.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Joe the Boss 15.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 De Punta a Punta 20.00 5.7 11-1
8 7 Royal Melbourne 20.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Miss Fancy Nancy 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 Heraway 2.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Padrinoneverquits 4.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Unshackled 5.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Eldora 6.00 5 9-1
7 7 Justin Time 10.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Secuencia 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Courtage 10.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Yes Mz Adah 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Iwishirish 1.80 2 4-1
2 2 Queena Esther 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 4 Hopeful Angel 4.00 3.8 7-1
7 5 Viva Nevada 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 3 Sydney Time 8.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 4 Hersisterisachub 2.50 SCRATCH
1A 10 Sprawling 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Ready for Summer 1.60 3.2 6-1
3C 7 Hy Rapid Lady 2.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Boxing Betty 10.00 4.1 8-1
2X 4 Cheri’s Win 10.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Abets Abet 2.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Backyard Boogie 15.00 4.9 9-1
4 3 Causeway Cutie 12.00 5.1 10-1
7 8 Miss Racey Bike 30.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bourbon Honey 3.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Carry Your Heels 1.80 3.4 6-1
2 2 Blaze Star 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 River Miss 4.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 She Loves Leather 15.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Really 20.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Trappe Play 10.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Girl Powder 10.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ultimate Avary 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Dancing Cool 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Lookingforanewspot 4.00 2.7 5-1
6 5 Sweetest Yet 1.60 3.4 6-1
4 3 Nothin But Trouble 6.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Bon Heir 10.00 4.5 9-1
7 6 Wildly Good Lookin 15.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Legacy’s Prince 2.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Jw’strickymischief 2.50 3.2 6-1
3 3 Midnight Harbor 8.00 4 8-1
5 5 Little Siete 6.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 My Friend Frank 10.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Every Step 4.50 4.9 9-1
6 6 Team Ribot 12.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Cape Cod Sun 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Six Blade 4.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Mr. Skittles 5.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Sancho Del Pueblo 15.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Extrasexymazzerati 3.00 4.5 9-1
9 9 Champagne Event 2.50 4.7 9-1
7 7 B C F’s Outrageous 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Eastern Front 20.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Grafico 30.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Full Redemption 30.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Fist of Thor 20.00 8.1 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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