November 18, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Souper Riptide | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vaughan | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Detroit Steel (IRE) | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lafleur | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spring Edition | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Papa D | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mizuchi | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pink Scribbles | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Einstein’s Babe | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brookies Bear | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Call Me Mrs. G | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Glittering Snow | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s a True Fox | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cara Lucia | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Brews Toonie Toss | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Melissa | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Light My Path | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Capture Your Heart | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Geocentric | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dance With Me Baby | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Splendid Glory | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ginger Candy | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Conquest Eliminatr | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Lookin At Bravo | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Court Battle | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Epilogue | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mick the Conqueror | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Itstartswithadrink | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red Bo | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Crumlin Night | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fiery Bear | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hope Vision | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Red Chill | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Winsroy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Quench My Thirst | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Our Uncle Drew | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Braver Then We Are | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Eboracum | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Summer Retreat | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Spanish Major | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Roman Nomen | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Draxhall | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Just Run With It | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | A Rated Breeze | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Monsoon Rain | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Celtic Singer | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flashinthepants | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Potra Liza | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Road | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen of Summer | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spring Forward | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Penny a Point | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Starling’s Law | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Best Bard | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Decision Day | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Chris’ Brew | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rocket Plan | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Mind Magic | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dexter Road | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Donation | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Wage Acceleration | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Watch Me Strut | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cito | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Grom | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Coronation Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Avie’s Flatter | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tripwire | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | D Magician | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Federal Law | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jammin Still | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Moon Swings | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Samurai Queen | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Downy Boy | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fahrenheit | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Wolf Ridge | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kid’s Mischief | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frobisher Bay | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Poquito Bandito | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Station Rock | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Take Another Shot | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Courting a Kiss | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tequila State | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Red Frog | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Fuerst | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Occasional View | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Magical Man | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Not So Quiet | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Conquest Lemonraid | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Glacier | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | San Nicola Thunder | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lokinforpursemonee | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Piven | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sable Island | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Spanish Express | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 16 | If You Only Knew | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Bel Tempo | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Distinct Signature | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Easy Bid | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Stormy Vision | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Create an Edge | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Essential | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Lost a Sock | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Best Dressed | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cheetahra | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sligo One | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Celtic Ring | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Hanchy | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bold n’ Foxy | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Court Time | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Chenes | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.