Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 18, 2018

November 18, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 McIlhenny 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Anang 5.00 3.1 6-1
8 7 Attitude Ajustment 2.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Ladygogently 4.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 Just Mallory 20.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 Nola Three Hundred 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Honduras Girl 8.00 5 9-1
3 3 It’s Kisses 20.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 8 From Now On 3.00 3 6-1
1 3 Northshorecorredor 3.00 3.1 6-1
8 9 Perin the Pirate 2.00 4.3 8-1
3 2 Half Blink 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 1 I Run for Three 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Juneberris Sound 3.50 5.5 10-1
4 4 Smartica Song 8.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Church of England 12.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Last of the Luck 20.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Savvy Shipman 3.50 SCRATCH
1A 14 Sweet Pea Mama Ve 8.00 SCRATCH
1 5 Half Fast Rose 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 B’s Ten 4.00 4.1 8-1
3 2 Smiley Briley 8.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 Champagne Diva 4.50 5 10-1
8 8 Spartanburg 6.00 5.6 11-1
2 1 Toodaloo to You 12.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Lurey An 8.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Katiebmeister 8.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Too Bad Chu 10.00 7.2 14-1
4 3 Leavem Britten 20.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Vanishing Image 20.00 8.3 16-1
12 12 Gabby’s Half 12.00 9.5 18-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Clever Racer 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Beaubouef 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Dude Greeley 5.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Jackpot Johnny 5.00 4.1 8-1
8 7 Sobriquiet 3.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Release the Beast 5.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Legal Holiday 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 6 Half of Tip Tap 6.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Lorette 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Cypress Point 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Caliente Candy 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Play On 3.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Breezing Bye 5.00 4 7-1
4 4 Matt’s Honey 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Hatchet Lady 12.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Scatrattleandroll 8.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Ice Ghost 15.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Ravenel 15.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Freedom Passage 20.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Phat and Fast 2.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Real Time 4.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Scarlettsblackjack 3.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Ty C 10.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 El Tristan 3.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Mikey’s Mouse 12.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Lil Blinkey 12.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 11 Haynesfest 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Divine Quality 6.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Flat Meadow 3.50 2.3 4-1
1A 9 Silla Manila 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 Jing 4.00 3.7 7-1
7 6 Alfresco 4.00 5 9-1
6 5 Indygita 4.50 5.2 10-1
3 2 Brenda’s Fever 15.00 5.4 10-1
4 3 Santino 15.00 5.5 10-1
8 7 Cause Me Grief 6.00 6.3 12-1
9 8 Sarabi 15.00 8.2 16-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Happy Ticket Overnight S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 My Miss Chiff 2.50 2 4-1
2 2 P Boo 5.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Shakopee Town 3.50 4.1 8-1
8 8 Ours to Run 3.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Light Her Up 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Yes Gorgeous 8.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Dixie Brees 6.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Believeinsomething 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Clear as Day 8.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Jo Jo Air 3.50 2.6 5-1
3 2 She’s Divine 4.50 2.6 5-1
1 1 Serious Steam 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 6 Nerissa 8.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 Insane Maclean 8.00 5.6 11-1
5 4 Just in the Moment 12.00 6 11-1
10 9 Ginny B 8.00 6.1 12-1
6 5 Bonita Bay 12.00 6.3 12-1
9 8 Temple of Roses 12.00 8 15-1
11 10 Marvella 12.00 8.8 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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