Sports from the Basement

Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 17, 2018

November 17, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 My Cantata 3.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Marsantropist 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Kiss the Princess 3.50 3.4 7-1
8 8 Tallievision 2.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Court Central 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Lovin Spoon Phil 8.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Lake Manitou 6.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Articulate 10.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Londie Lou 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bilky Bluz 2.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 Lady Bella 2.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Capucine 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 I Miss You 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Scarlet Bow 3.50 4.6 9-1
7 7 Abogada 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Freshieintheforest 20.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 No Chill 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Musical Flight 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Foxxy Belle 6.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Post to Post 3.00 3.4 7-1
2 2 No Extensions 2.00 4 8-1
1 1 Forest Lass 10.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Lillz So Precious 20.00 5 10-1
8 7 Stroll to the Beat 10.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Stay Determined 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Ault 3.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Drink in My Hand 4.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Nupogodi 6.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 R U Watchingbud 20.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Silent Contempt 10.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Tinker Ring 8.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Sumerian Bell 20.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Blu Without You 12.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Shaded 20.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dynamic Solution 20.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Verradassah 2.50 2 4-1
3 2 Kewanne 4.00 3.4 6-1
5 4 Trickeration 6.00 3.9 7-1
12 11 Shamruckus 8.00 4.6 9-1
11 10 Mahone Bay 10.00 4.8 9-1
10 9 Double Crossed 8.00 6.1 12-1
8 7 Sam’n Cat 12.00 7.2 14-1
4 3 Marquette 20.00 7.3 14-1
9 8 Gray Dove 15.00 7.8 15-1
7 6 Naupaka 20.00 8.3 16-1
6 5 Overturned 20.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bit’s Lover Boy 20.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Bakersfield 1.60 2 4-1
3 2 Jurojin 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 Yallhaveaniceday 2.50 3.4 7-1
8 7 Oversteering 3.50 4.4 8-1
2 1 Canada Wise Don 20.00 4.4 8-1
5 4 Like Your Excuse 20.00 5.3 10-1
7 6 Brady O’Brady 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ben Lomond 2.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Heydon’s Case 3.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Areocentric 4.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Marcus 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Precious Badge 8.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Water Polo 8.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Kentucky Charm 10.00 6.4 12-1
1 1 Jimbo Five 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – South Ocean S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Preferred Guest 2.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Notice Me 1.60 3 6-1
4 4 Miss Ariel 8.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Crumlin Time 4.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Falcon’s View 3.50 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cobra Casablanca 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Gamble’s Candy 3.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Scat’s Rose 2.50 2.6 5-1
4 3 Princess Fabiana 4.00 2.8 5-1
2 1 Love On a Fence 10.00 3.7 7-1
3 2 Blue Eyed Girl 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Ka Gee Gee 15.00 4.3 8-1
5 4 Muskoka Lady 12.00 5.3 10-1
8 7 Miss Tea Blonde 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Veaisha 2.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Dublin Diva 1.60 2.8 5-1
4 4 Sweet Rhapsody 4.00 4 7-1
7 7 Boathouse View 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Green Doctor 15.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Congeniality 10.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Hatch Gate 15.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Fine Grit 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Street Cat Sam 30.00 SCRATCH
10 9 Starinthemaking 3.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Chestermere 4.00 3.7 7-1
5 4 Handsome Like Me 8.00 4.5 9-1
9 8 Makemineamanhattan 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 O’Kram 10.00 5.3 10-1
7 6 Zephan 6.00 5.5 10-1
8 7 Lookin At Matteo 8.00 5.7 11-1
4 3 Athena’s Legacy 20.00 7 13-1
6 5 Gator Spy 12.00 7 13-1
13 11 Victory L. 20.00 8.6 16-1
14 12 Northern Mike 20.00 9.4 18-1
12 10 Shantelle’s Chance 30.00 9.9 19-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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