November 17, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | China Cat | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nightlife | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Escape | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Luna Fortis | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Havennow | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wrong Color | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Aphra | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fairy Wish | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hidden Bamboo | 1.20 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Trapper’s Delight | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ticker Tape Parade | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Boondoggle | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A Rose by Any Name | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Great Nation | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unclenedwhodrank | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8A | 8 | Ransom Past Due | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pretty Enuff | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2A | 2 | Bodega Bay | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Moon Virginia | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Three Illusions | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Prevailing Party | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Floating By | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sally O’Prado | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | At the Rapids | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Flirtation Walk | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Dilly | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Tri Poker | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Full of Drama | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Caterina One | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | American Star | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Weekends for Work | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Big Mama Drama | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Classy to D’ Bone | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Molly’s Dolly | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sharp | 15.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sun Valley Star | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mi Karlita | 20.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mucha Flamenca | 15.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Feel Proud | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Cause He’s Western | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Zarski | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lon’s True Passion | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Promote | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Catmancan | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Junction | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mountain Cry | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Posterity | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Greek God | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ride This Train | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Young Dude | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hush Hush Henny | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brother Slick Nick | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | City Gold | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | High Society | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Mr. Magician | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brahms Romp | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Super Vision | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Uhwarrie Sky | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Watch Your Words | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roman Warrior | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smart Two a T | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Barin | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jai Blue | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Totally Unexpected | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wildly Clever | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Menacing | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Takedown | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Do Yahwanna Salsa | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sparty | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lion Lord | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tattooed | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Huyana | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Broad Expanse | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Workaholic | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Olive Kat | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Belial | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Past Perfect | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Destiny Over Fate | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heningham | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Waiting for a Star | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Channing Road | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tapitontheside | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Ten Hut | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Iredell | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Joy Drive | 1.60 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Social Stranger | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grecian Prince | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Apolodorodedamasco | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | The Curt Fox (GB) | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.