Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 17, 2018

November 17, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Muffaletta 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Crescent Lace 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Sea Strollin 20.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Sassy Mallory 4.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Smokin’ Carol 3.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Boggidyboggidy 5.00 3.9 7-1
8 7 Her High Road 4.50 4.3 8-1
4 3 Lovedatbaby 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 6 Ice Party 10.00 5.8 11-1
5 4 Forewarned Storm 12.00 6.3 12-1
10 9 Fine N On Time 10.00 7 13-1
9 8 Tiz the Time 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Runnin Sky 8.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Oso Ready 2.50 2.5 5-1
6 5 Biblical Strength 1.60 3 6-1
2 1 My New Guiter 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 4 My Prophet 4.50 4.1 8-1
4 3 Ten Silver Pins 15.00 4.2 8-1
8 7 Angie’s Bling 15.00 5.9 11-1
7 6 Jack Be Quick 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dark Spirit 5.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Crispy Creed 4.50 4 7-1
8 8 Blowing Bayou 4.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Skylar’s Way 3.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Guest Appearance 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 No Big Ting 6.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Mia O Maya 12.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Temple City Darlin 10.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Departed 20.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 This Is My Prayer 15.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Perfect Giant 20.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Princesa Sparkle 3.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Beautiful Wife 2.00 3.3 6-1
4 3 Regal Heiress 4.50 4 8-1
6 5 Lucky for Us 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 1 Whitebutton 30.00 4.6 9-1
8 7 Sophie’s Illusion 3.50 4.9 9-1
9 8 Tiz de Lovely 12.00 6 11-1
5 4 Kipling Miss 30.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Doc’s Rocket 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Galaxy Thirtysix 2.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Miss Sid N Say 4.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Blessed Song 10.00 3 6-1
8 7 Fee Fi Fo Fo 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Charzee Baby 10.00 4.5 9-1
9 8 Salty Martini 4.50 4.5 9-1
2 2 Coast of La 15.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Mary B Good 12.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Thegoodwitch 15.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Delta Mile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Rise Up 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Line Judge 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Secret Passage 2.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 G’s Turn 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Underpressure 4.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Midnight Ruler 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Mocito Rojo 4.50 5.3 10-1
5 5 Mistake Present 20.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Speedy Fellar 10.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Too Tall Tony 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Gentrified 3.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Madiba 3.00 4 8-1
5 5 Imindycatbirdseat 6.00 4.4 8-1
9 9 Donwell 2.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Roundabout Robbie 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Two Steppin’ Star 20.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Zackarooney 15.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Valentine Street 12.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Royal Reality 20.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Louisiana Legacy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Crocodile Jacques 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Cafe Du Monde 1.80 2.1 4-1
6 6 Brother Richie 4.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Jimi’s a Star 10.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Musada 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Natealyze 4.50 5 10-1
5 5 Geauxcro 12.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Cabo’s Rumor 5.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Ryder Rocket 30.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 G Cisive 20.00 7.9 15-1
7 7 Joemo 30.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 6 Pound for Pound 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Adios Yankee 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Bending Saint 3.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Double Barrel Man 2.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Calimor 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Bill’s Production 12.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Vastjesus 5.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Outofthisgalaxy 15.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Disapproval 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 Stylish Sailor 5.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Dream Nation 3.50 4.4 8-1
9 9 Callmechamp 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Kingofthefairway 10.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Natalio 10.00 6 11-1
3 3 Emma’s Logic 15.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Hudson’s Hunt 20.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Big Count 12.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Harry’s Lil Hippie 8.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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