November 17, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Muffaletta | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Crescent Lace | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sea Strollin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Sassy Mallory | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Smokin’ Carol | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boggidyboggidy | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Her High Road | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lovedatbaby | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ice Party | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Forewarned Storm | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fine N On Time | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tiz the Time | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Runnin Sky | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Oso Ready | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Biblical Strength | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | My New Guiter | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | My Prophet | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ten Silver Pins | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Angie’s Bling | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jack Be Quick | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dark Spirit | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crispy Creed | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Blowing Bayou | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Skylar’s Way | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Guest Appearance | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Big Ting | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mia O Maya | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Temple City Darlin | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Departed | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | This Is My Prayer | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Giant | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Princesa Sparkle | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Beautiful Wife | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Regal Heiress | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lucky for Us | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Whitebutton | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sophie’s Illusion | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tiz de Lovely | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kipling Miss | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Doc’s Rocket | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Galaxy Thirtysix | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Miss Sid N Say | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blessed Song | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fee Fi Fo Fo | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Charzee Baby | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Salty Martini | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Coast of La | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mary B Good | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thegoodwitch | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Delta Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Rise Up | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Line Judge | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Secret Passage | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | G’s Turn | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Underpressure | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Ruler | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mocito Rojo | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mistake Present | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Speedy Fellar | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Too Tall Tony | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Gentrified | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Madiba | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Imindycatbirdseat | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Donwell | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roundabout Robbie | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Two Steppin’ Star | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zackarooney | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Valentine Street | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Reality | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Louisiana Legacy S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Crocodile Jacques | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Cafe Du Monde | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brother Richie | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jimi’s a Star | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Musada | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Natealyze | 4.50 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Geauxcro | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cabo’s Rumor | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ryder Rocket | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | G Cisive | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Joemo | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 6 | Pound for Pound | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Adios Yankee | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bending Saint | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Double Barrel Man | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Calimor | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bill’s Production | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vastjesus | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Outofthisgalaxy | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Disapproval | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stylish Sailor | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dream Nation | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Callmechamp | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kingofthefairway | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Natalio | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Emma’s Logic | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hudson’s Hunt | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Count | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Harry’s Lil Hippie | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.