November 16, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Trusty Roll | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tiger Eyes | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Pink Princess | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Tiz Emily and Jill | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Gangbusters | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Bye Bye Blues | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Stella Nova | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Party Rock | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Haveaniceweekend | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Truly Hot | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sleighbelle | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Cocktail Waitress | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rosy’s Rainbow | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nightmare | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Laughs | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I’m Listening | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Windixiewin | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Colonel Sharp | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Something Awesome | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Colonel | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Glory Stars | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sonny Inspired | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Call Kenny | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Tiz a Deal | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Carved | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Lill Mave | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Lost Scroll | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Hey Mabel | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Shall Try | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11A | 8 | Running Tide | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Spooky Tooth | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Lutenanny | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Jacobella | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | One Smart Caller | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 14A | 10 | Scip It All | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Capable Lady | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Donna’s Delight | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5A | 5 | Silver Dagger | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Intrepid Citizen | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | He’s One Wild Dude | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bay Bridge | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Martini Kid | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | No Knock Raid | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Springers Point | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Jump Street Hero | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Lon’s True Passion | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2A | 1 | Etruscan | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Blow the Whistle | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Berliner | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Gold Man | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 7 | Sebray | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Who Stole My Sock | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 6 | Ore Pass | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Empire Panther | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dah Philly | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Colton’s Horseplay | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Boom Boom Gone | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jabuticaba | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Inflight | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A Little Info | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hip Hop | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Rumor Ridge | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Baccarat Fashion | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | New Year’s Wish | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Miss Jak | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rithm and Rap | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | In Jail | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cherryandthehawk | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Three Phase | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Invigorous | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beyond the Victory | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thatwouldbegrand | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lippi Lorenzo | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wait for Dark | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Mount Travers | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sunman | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sapphire Shilling | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hall Pass | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Regally Irish | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gimme Some Truth | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Talk Less | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Mythos | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Feel Proud | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pleiadian | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tonbo | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Zen’s Land | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | C B Bodemester | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rumblin Kyle | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Definitely Tonight | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mid Ocean | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.