Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 16, 2018

November 16, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tax Money 2.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Zarla 4.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Sassy Pants Susie 2.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Smell the Rain 12.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 I Call 10.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Sweet Silver 6.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Little Tator Tot 15.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Nelly Relly 20.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Louisiana Lily 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Treasure Chest S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sure Thing Sheila 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Mr. Al’s Gal 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Babybluesbdancing 3.00 2.5 5-1
7 5 Americium 2.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 Inspeightof 4.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Testing One Two 3.50 3.6 7-1
5 4 Fleet Halo 12.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Pure Valor 4.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Brutalize 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Halostar 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 My Hero Pappy 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Pat Me Down 3.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Izzy’s Baby Boy 4.50 2.5 5-1
6 5 The Flush King 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Titanium Pledge 8.00 4.5 9-1
9 7 Hooray Austin 5.00 5.1 10-1
8 6 Saponi 12.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Icy Willie 15.00 5.3 10-1
10 8 Cajun Pinata 15.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Kiss Him Twice 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Valse 4.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Thiscatsatalkin 4.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Big Storm Coming 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Just Run Skiny Run 5.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Devil’s Pay 6.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Killingit 8.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Theboyzgrand Kis 20.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Passing Simon 15.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Z Pride 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Karslyn 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 5 A Toast to Gertie 4.00 4 7-1
2 2 Cat’s Hit 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Space Cowgirl 12.00 4.4 8-1
10 9 Sarah’s Prayer 3.50 4.6 9-1
7 6 Wildcat Beauty 5.00 5 9-1
4 4 Agirlnamedsyd 15.00 6.3 12-1
9 8 Perfect for Me 12.00 6.7 13-1
8 7 Baby B Gone 15.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Jacob Rocks 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Hardly Seen Slim 4.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Alpha Bravo 5.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Nastida Mast 2.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Dewey’s Sunshine 6.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Hustle N Jive 15.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Clancy’s Pepper 6.00 6 11-1
3 3 Two Mikes N Doc G 20.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Valid Prospector 30.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Personal Conflict 8.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Will Burn Tails 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Frolic 2.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Sarge’s Daughter 1.80 3.5 7-1
1 1 Honest Tina 8.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Overthegardengate 3.00 4 7-1
4 4 Our Sweet Sydni 6.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Rachael’s Kiss 15.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Social Doll 15.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Louisiana Jewel S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Silvercents 1.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Cohenscollegefund 3.50 2.9 6-1
4 4 Goodprofit 2.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 D’rockette 5.00 4 8-1
6 6 Angeles 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Fortune Got Even 15.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 King Formeredith 6.00 SCRATCH
11 11 V Double U 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Ida’s Warrior 2.50 1.9 4-1
8 8 Mr. Nasty Time 4.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Lightning Lewis 3.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Ellerbe 10.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Chuck’s Quest 4.50 5.5 10-1
2 2 Fireman Isaac Max 15.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Lougarou 20.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Cool Production 10.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Atdabarwithmerrill 20.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Halos Prayer 20.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Send Her Marie 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Blowin Your Mind 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Becky’s Dude 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Lady Belacqua 3.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 You Have a Point 10.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Honey Hearts 1.60 4.8 9-1
3 3 Paloma Belle 15.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Running Unbridled 20.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Risen Cork 8.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Casey’s Doll 12.00 6 11-1
9 9 Red Light Zone 10.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Cee’s Memory 20.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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