Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 16, 2018

November 16, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Two Fifty Coup 2.50 2.4 4-1
2 2 Baby Frankie 3.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Irish Terrier 3.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Bea’s Boy 5.00 4 8-1
4 4 Principe Carlo 4.00 4 8-1
6 6 Swamp Souffle 6.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Colormemoney 2.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Gringo Star 2.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Bob’s All In 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Don’t Stalk Me 1.80 3.5 7-1
2 2 Yes I’m Ready 20.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Master Ruler 8.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Damiano 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Trial by Fire 0.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Seeking Refuge 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Haydens Havoc 2.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Truck Salesman 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Ka’nah 3.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Storms River 3.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Bold Endeavor 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Nice Work 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Caecilius 10.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Thermal Heat 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kelly’s Humor 2.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Steph Being Steph 2.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Dominating Woman 3.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Lightning Dove 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Spring Lily 6.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Smiling Tigress 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Lake Time 6.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Indi Luck 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Handsome John 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Mulzoff 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Starring John Wain 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 4 Its Five Somewhere 3.50 3.5 7-1
2 2 Forestation 15.00 4 8-1
4 3 Ultra Lucky 10.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Poppy’s C Note 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 6 Sea of Liberty 20.00 5.4 10-1
10 7 Hammurabi’s Law 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Avanti Bello 3.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Just Kidding 3.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Crown the Kitten 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Beantown Boys 5.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Arch Prince 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Mercer Island 6.00 5 9-1
3 3 Ferguson 12.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Clear the Mine 8.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 Comma Sister 15.00 8.4 16-1
10 10 Muchos Besos 12.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kodiak West (IRE) 2.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Retro 3.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 K P Pergoliscious (IRE) 3.50 4.6 9-1
3 3 Don’t Blame Judy 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Nice Ice 5.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Sappho (IRE) 6.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Stradella Road 20.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Pacific Strike 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Blaze of Glory 3.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Bitter Ring Home 3.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Friendly Steve 5.00 4 7-1
6 6 Valiant 6.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Serve Me a Double 6.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Elevate 10.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Calie View 30.00 6.6 13-1
8 8 Royal Rebel 15.00 6.6 13-1
9 9 Alphadar 6.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Game of Roans 20.00 7.9 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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