Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, November 16, 2018

November 16, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2A 2 Home It Tiz 2.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Allured 1.00 2.1 4-1
1A 1 Personal Time 2.00 2.5 5-1
5 4 Replicator 3.00 3.6 7-1
6 5 Rucksack 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 3 Bold Gem 20.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Monster Bea 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Bern’ James Bern 2.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Tricked Up 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Giant Run 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Astounding 1.60 SCRATCH
4 2 Ironclad 2.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Zinger 15.00 2.7 5-1
7 3 Top of the Page 3.00 3 6-1
8 4 Poshsky 15.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Support Our Cause 5.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Domain 0.40 3 6-1
3 3 Alrahaal 3.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Huracan 20.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Pragmatist 12.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Won the Byng 30.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 It’s a Lovely Day 1.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Margie Cat 4.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Rose of Dublin 3.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Pendolino 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Mimic 15.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Devil’s Flair 8.00 5 9-1
5 5 Quietude 12.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Scripted 1.80 2.6 5-1
2 2 Emerald Quality 2.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Sophie Germain 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Formal Event 2.50 4 8-1
5 5 Miss Loyalty 10.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 You Promise 15.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Eareckson (GB) 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Astoundment 10.00 SCRATCH
2A 2 Fuji 20.00 SCRATCH
5B 5 Optimization (GB) 3.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Limage 10.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Sweet Timing 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Passion Flower 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Stefanie On Fleek 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Queen Medb (IRE) 2.50 SCRATCH
4 2 Delta’s Kingdom 8.00 2.8 5-1
15B 6 Indexation 3.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Miss Marilyn 12.00 3.5 7-1
14 5 Whyisshesoolucky 8.00 4 7-1
13 4 Shall We Dance 10.00 4.5 9-1
6 3 Eternally 20.00 4.8 9-1
16A 7 Dizzy 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Harkness 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Glossy 2.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Tapping Colors 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 A Great Time 8.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Sweet Offer 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Eloweasel 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Jimi Bags 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Tap Tap Taparoo 8.00 SCRATCH
12 4 Naples Princess 2.00 2.6 5-1
15 7 Bluegrass Jamboree 4.00 2.9 5-1
13 5 Palladian Bridge 6.00 3.8 7-1
14 6 Wisconsin Night 4.50 4.2 8-1
6 1 Dancing All Night 4.50 4.5 8-1
11 3 Cosita Mia 15.00 5.4 10-1
9 2 Transaction Tax 15.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Puffery 2.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Salty Smile 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 My Won Love 2.50 2 4-1
2 2 Peril 8.00 3.3 6-1
7 5 Out of Orbit 2.50 3.4 7-1
5 3 Peaches and Spice 15.00 4.3 8-1
8 6 Cool as You Like 12.00 4.4 8-1
6 4 Sundance Joy 30.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Beaux Arts 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Something Joyful 4.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Free Kitty 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Discreet Cathy 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Bella’s Game 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Merlins Muse 4.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Cetara 20.00 SCRATCH
5 3 Forever Daisy 5.00 3.3 6-1
4 2 Tiz Priceless 6.00 3.3 6-1
6 4 Salt Pond 2.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Jo Jo’s Candy 12.00 4.5 8-1
14 8 Parlapiano 4.00 4.7 9-1
13 7 Cathy Naz 6.00 5.5 10-1
9 6 Votre Coeur 8.00 5.9 11-1
7 5 Trouble for Skylar 12.00 6.2 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Upcoming Bankroll Contests
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