Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 15, 2018

November 15, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 8 Geauxcro 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Ricky Dale 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Asongforyou 2.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Beto 2.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Buckets 4.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 D’tuff Cat Rey 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Victory Trip 12.00 4.2 8-1
7 6 Hampton Roads 4.50 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Borodino 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Latrobe’s King 1.60 1.8 3-1
3 3 Wristlet 4.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Mr Haney 4.50 4 7-1
2 2 Moneyinmypocket 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Lethal Move 8.00 4.9 9-1
9 8 Red Roux 10.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Greeley’s Glacken 15.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 The Vincenator 20.00 6.9 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Miss Moronette 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Open Forest 3.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Starry Ide Elaine 5.00 4 7-1
8 7 Lu Sea 4.00 4 8-1
6 6 Tessa’s Treat 4.50 4.3 8-1
9 8 Diva’s Ransom 5.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Salute My Lady 30.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Just Cruising 20.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Titanium Girl 12.00 6.2 12-1
10 9 Ryan and Madison 8.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lunarstrike 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Havinfunyet 1.80 2.1 4-1
1 1 Little Snip 10.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Kentucky Brown 3.50 4 8-1
3 3 Behold the Queen 10.00 4.3 8-1
10 9 Sage’s Epiphany 2.50 5.2 10-1
5 5 Kool Aid Girl 20.00 6 11-1
9 8 Mizzen Air 15.00 6 11-1
8 7 Hopette 20.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Forgotten 30.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Mr. Nine Five Four 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Shaniko’s Secret 4.50 2.9 6-1
3 3 Mister Frenchie 8.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Cookies Are Good 3.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Jericho 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Cameron Rules 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Heir to Dream 12.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 A He’s an O’Prado 5.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Santa Americana 12.00 6 11-1
7 7 Whoajoey 12.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Captain Tyree 10.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Zenucci 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 In Charge Halo 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 True Emperor 4.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Harbor Pilot 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Bam Bam Bryan 3.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Impressive Student 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Ruston Vow 8.00 4.2 8-1
9 8 King Cake 4.50 5.3 10-1
4 4 Cash First 12.00 5.6 11-1
8 7 Ready Prospector 10.00 5.8 11-1
7 6 My First Guitar 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Skylar’s Way 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Say Yes Again 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Onetwomanyrockets 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Kris T. 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Midnight Fantasy 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Lagniappe 5.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Whodatwhodat 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Bellamy Cay 4.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Rule Taylor Rule 6.00 5 10-1
3 3 Starlet Scarlett 12.00 6 11-1
7 7 Preemptive 8.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Haleys Court 20.00 7.6 14-1
15 12 Wasnt Joking 8.00 7.7 15-1
10 9 Adieu Mallory 20.00 8.4 16-1
11 10 Argument Won 20.00 9.4 18-1
12 11 Tears for Paula 20.00 10.2 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Tom Benson Memorial Overnight S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Vanishing Image 50.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Remember Daisy 6.00 4 7-1
12 11 Pacific Pink 3.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Safari Calamari 10.00 5 9-1
1 1 Mi Copa Rebosa 15.00 5 9-1
5 5 Hyper Piper 12.00 5.2 10-1
10 9 Mr. Al’s Gal 3.50 5.8 11-1
11 10 Bermuda Star 3.50 5.8 11-1
9 8 Eskenformore 12.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Temple Shadow 20.00 7.1 13-1
8 7 Royal Alexandra 15.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Ourgoldshalaylee 20.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Satellite 4.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Pleasant Street 4.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Seeking Fast 3.50 4 8-1
2 2 Delta Eighty Eight 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Netela 8.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Miss You Jo 8.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Bad and Tough 30.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Magic Maniac 20.00 6.6 12-1
11 11 Beauty Boy 10.00 7.5 14-1
10 10 Raise Em Up 15.00 8 15-1
9 9 French Command 30.00 9.1 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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