November 15, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 11 | Ray’s King | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Majestic Society | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Cool Man | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kye’s Addycat | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Brush Whacker | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Asap | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Watchoutfor Taylor | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sarvelio | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Monie’s Man | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Runciman | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | They’ll Seeintime | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | The Magic’s Gone | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Ten Tap Dances | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Becca’s Whisper | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flat Out Big Money | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blessed Bloom | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Velvet Vision | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Out Late | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Kohensrising | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Crissy Tenpins | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Honest Smile | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady King | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | French Roast | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Inseparable | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mac’s Is Ruling | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Azuralee | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fussy Cut | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She’s Ours | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ms Melanie | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Toshita Forever | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Boston Bob | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Stihl Harbor | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shedrow Cocktails | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Cal | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | He’s a Super Jet | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | He’s a Lady Tamer | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Primary Patrick | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | G. A. Betting | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hewhofillsmyheart | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dry Wood Creek | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Raising a Star | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mallie Cramp | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 2 | Attitude Ajustment | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 7 | Beachy Attitude | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Speed too Tume | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Secret Joy | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Given Grace | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Cuteness Apriority | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Chiles Legacy | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fanny Box | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Ty’s Agenda | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | K One Kobra | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | No Guts No Glory | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wildcat Friendship | 1.60 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Valen Forever | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fast Time Streaker | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Chief Knockaway | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I’m Formidable | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Montbrooks Miracle | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jo Allen’s Buddy | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bitsy’s Half | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Twilight Star | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Born to D’ Wild | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Miss Guretta | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Arwen | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Crowned Style | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Skipadee Due Da | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kilasa | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Double P’s Tavern | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Just Kylie | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Seveneightnine | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Promise Tender | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Castalia Bella | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Kodiak Sky | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Miss Wekati | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lefthoofrightleft | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cookin | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Copper Lady | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dyso | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Musket’s Cup Cake | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thegrayspider | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Maline | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cinnamon Diva | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wild Appointment | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Clip Joint | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Simba’s Pride | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Delicious | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Impish Babe | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | D’digger | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twoshotsofcrown | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Proper Romance | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | U Complete Me | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Itsa Flashmob | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Deputy Crook | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | War Dude | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Rahfees Man | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maestro Del Prado | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zarb’s Pistol | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A. P.’s Prince | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mister Ander | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hugo’s Last Song | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Shermaesque Flag | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cat’s Shining Star | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Goodeagle | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.