Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 15, 2018

November 15, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 11 Ray’s King 10.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Majestic Society 2.50 3.5 7-1
1 6 Cool Man 10.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 Kye’s Addycat 4.00 4 8-1
7 7 Brush Whacker 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 1 Asap 12.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Watchoutfor Taylor 3.50 5.2 10-1
4 3 Sarvelio 12.00 5.7 11-1
3 2 Monie’s Man 15.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Runciman 10.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 They’ll Seeintime 15.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 The Magic’s Gone 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Ten Tap Dances 2.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Becca’s Whisper 3.50 3 6-1
3 3 Flat Out Big Money 4.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Blessed Bloom 1.80 3.8 7-1
5 5 Velvet Vision 8.00 5 9-1
4 4 Out Late 10.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Kohensrising 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Crissy Tenpins 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Honest Smile 4.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Lady King 3.50 4.4 8-1
9 9 French Roast 2.50 4.5 9-1
7 7 Inseparable 2.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 Mac’s Is Ruling 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Azuralee 20.00 5 9-1
3 3 Fussy Cut 20.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 She’s Ours 30.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Ms Melanie 20.00 7.2 14-1
10 10 Toshita Forever 20.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Boston Bob 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Stihl Harbor 2.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Shedrow Cocktails 3.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Lucky Cal 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 He’s a Super Jet 15.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 He’s a Lady Tamer 3.50 5 9-1
8 8 Primary Patrick 8.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 G. A. Betting 20.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Hewhofillsmyheart 15.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Dry Wood Creek 8.00 7 13-1
10 10 Raising a Star 30.00 8.8 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Mallie Cramp 15.00 SCRATCH
1 2 Attitude Ajustment 2.50 SCRATCH
1A 7 Beachy Attitude 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 4 Speed too Tume 2.00 3.1 6-1
3 2 Secret Joy 6.00 4 8-1
7 6 Given Grace 4.00 4.3 8-1
2 1 Cuteness Apriority 20.00 5.1 10-1
6 5 Chiles Legacy 8.00 5.2 10-1
4 3 Fanny Box 12.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Ty’s Agenda 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 K One Kobra 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 No Guts No Glory 3.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Wildcat Friendship 1.60 3.6 7-1
5 5 Valen Forever 10.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Fast Time Streaker 12.00 4.8 9-1
10 9 Chief Knockaway 4.50 5.3 10-1
8 8 I’m Formidable 10.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Montbrooks Miracle 30.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Jo Allen’s Buddy 20.00 6 11-1
6 6 Bitsy’s Half 30.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Twilight Star 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Born to D’ Wild 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Miss Guretta 3.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Princess Arwen 8.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Crowned Style 2.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Skipadee Due Da 8.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Kilasa 4.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Double P’s Tavern 8.00 6 11-1
8 8 Just Kylie 8.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Seveneightnine 30.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Promise Tender 30.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Castalia Bella 30.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Kodiak Sky 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Miss Wekati 2.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Lefthoofrightleft 3.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Cookin 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Copper Lady 4.50 4.7 9-1
6 6 Dyso 6.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Musket’s Cup Cake 10.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Thegrayspider 15.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Maline 12.00 6.6 13-1
10 10 Cinnamon Diva 10.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Wild Appointment 12.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Clip Joint 2.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 Simba’s Pride 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Delicious 1.80 3.9 7-1
6 6 Impish Babe 4.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 D’digger 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Twoshotsofcrown 20.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Proper Romance 30.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 U Complete Me 8.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Itsa Flashmob 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Deputy Crook 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 War Dude 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Rahfees Man 2.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Maestro Del Prado 3.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Zarb’s Pistol 10.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 A. P.’s Prince 12.00 4.7 9-1
10 9 Mister Ander 6.00 5.1 10-1
6 5 Hugo’s Last Song 15.00 5.9 11-1
9 8 Shermaesque Flag 12.00 6.6 12-1
8 7 Cat’s Shining Star 20.00 6.7 13-1
7 6 Goodeagle 30.00 7.4 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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