Sports from the Basement

Del Mar Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 15, 2018

November 15, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Miss Alegria 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Devils Dance 2.50 2.4 4-1
1 1 Miss Stormy D 5.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Rather Nosy 3.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Gallantlystreaming (IRE) 4.00 4 8-1
5 5 Mo Me Mo My 3.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Elusively 12.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sooner Better 2.50 2 4-1
7 7 Redrock Trail 3.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Rockandahardplace 4.00 4 8-1
3 3 Classy Chasie 5.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Silent Alarm 4.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Ack 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Bean Street 30.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Spectator’s Dream 20.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mo See Cal 1.40 2.2 4-1
1 1 Aunt Lubie 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Starr of Quality 3.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Whirling 4.00 4 8-1
5 5 Convince 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Chickatini 10.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Journal Entry 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Breezy Bee 4.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Tig Tog (IRE) 3.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Gattaia 4.50 4 7-1
1 1 Sensible Thoughts 6.00 4 8-1
4 4 See That Kat 5.00 4 8-1
3 3 Super Good 12.00 5.1 10-1
8 7 Bella Papa 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 K P’s Smokin 2.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Rolling Shadow 3.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Copper Cowgirl 8.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Inland Empire 3.50 5.1 10-1
7 7 Sweet Treat 5.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Peachy 10.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Sugaratsundown 20.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Mousey Mousey 12.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Pray for Corday 20.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Objective 2.50 3 6-1
5 5 Sold It 2.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Apples Arch 4.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Shut It Up 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Data Storm Kitty 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Comegowithme 20.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 Harmless 6.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Any Two Cards 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Ninety Nine Proof 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Minoso 0.00 SCRATCH
5 3 California Journey 4.00 2.8 5-1
2 1 Duluth 6.00 3.1 6-1
7 5 Ground Attack 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 2 Plain Wrap 15.00 4.2 8-1
6 4 King Abner 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 6 New Karma 6.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Terrys Tom Cat 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Tartini 0.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Tough It Out 3.50 2.6 5-1
4 4 Lucky Soul 4.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Red King 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Icy Street 8.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Alsatian 5.00 4.6 9-1
11 10 Saltini 5.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Epical 10.00 6.6 12-1
8 8 Save Ground 8.00 7.2 14-1
6 6 Hard Fought 20.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Gain Ground 10.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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