Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, November 15, 2018

November 15, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 September Gurl 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Mary’s Girl 1.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Traci’s Girl 2.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Anydayisherday 15.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Mats Checkride 6.00 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Ego 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 My Pirate 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Michael Wonderful 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Phone Funky Munky 4.50 SCRATCH
3 2 Coltandmississippi 2.50 2.1 4-1
5 3 Accolade 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Maimo 4.00 3.2 6-1
7 4 Double Deep 3.50 4 8-1
8 5 Hills Pond 8.00 5 9-1
11 7 Four Knights 8.00 5.7 11-1
10 6 Proximate to Power 12.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tordito’s Bank 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Wild Boar 2.50 2.3 4-1
6 6 Klickitat 2.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Woodbury 3.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Southern King 4.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Poker Game 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Taptaptap 12.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Quietly Quick 3.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Super Mama 2.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Smart Throb 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Youth Gone Wild 15.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Nazay 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Lady Camille 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Reconsider It 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Frederica 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Low Is Laine 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Fiveinthemorning 5.00 2.5 5-1
8 4 My Victoria Rose 2.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Unparalleled 8.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Catania Rose 15.00 4.4 8-1
9 5 Bourbon High 50.00 5.2 10-1
11 7 Seattle Frost 12.00 5.3 10-1
10 6 Girlie’s Dream 50.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Full of Run 1.60 SCRATCH
1 1 Altesino 5.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 My Mr. Wonderful 4.50 2.9 5-1
5 5 Ragnar Lothbrok 4.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Flipped 5.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Joe’s Smokin Gun 12.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Infield Is In 8.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dig Deeper 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Moviemaker 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Stylishly 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Aspen Summer 1.80 SCRATCH
7 7 Frankly J’ray 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Tapin Through Life 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Fiamma d’Oro 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Goldmakesmesmile 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Aoife 8.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Azm 2.50 2.4 5-1
1 1 Grayjavu 15.00 2.6 5-1
8 4 Merger Arbitrage 3.00 3.2 6-1
4 3 Cadeau de Paix 15.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rappel 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Fixed Point 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Canarsie Kid 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Foolish Ghost 3.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 McErin 1.60 2.9 6-1
7 7 Mad Munnys 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 No Regrets 10.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 La Maquina Gris 12.00 4.5 8-1
9 9 Wet Your Whistle 10.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Life in Shambles 2.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Timber Ghost 1.60 3 6-1
1 1 Pete’s Play Call 5.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Ajnadeen 3.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Killybegs Captain 10.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Still Krz 6.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Rectify 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Tribecca 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Cerretalto 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Benevolence 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Morning Breez 3.00 2.5 5-1
9 9 Stoney Bennett 4.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Sicilia Mike 5.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Arthur’s Hope 15.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Horoscope 12.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 T Loves a Fight 10.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Bavaro 12.00 5.6 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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