November 14, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Purchasing Power | 1.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Strings | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Incubator | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Won’t Be Missed | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magnetron | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Too Fast to Pass | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 1 | Spartiatis | 0.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Toohottoevenspeak | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | Big Guy Ian | 0.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chosen One Elijah | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alright Alright | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Holding Aces | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Sea of Hope | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | He’s No Lemon | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Wild Boar | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | All in Charge | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Rochambeau | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Demarchelier (GB) | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Seismic Wave | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Moretti | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Vineyard Sound | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bourbon War | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | State of War | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 8 | Greyes Creek | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Stilts | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 16 | 9 | Lone Pioneer | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Eagle Two | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Art Object | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Magician’s Vanity | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Blissful Breeze | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Starving Artist | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Awsum Roar | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Cleo | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Hollywood Cat | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Esther the Queen | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 5 | Our Girl Abby | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 6 | Fashiononthesurge | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 4 | Paranoia | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Questeq | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Miss Bob | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Stars Wilburn | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Unrepented | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Curiousncuriouser | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Archumybaby | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Satin Sheets | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ranger Lady | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Moondance Joy | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Clairvoyant Lady | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Storm Prophet | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Point to Remember | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hollywood Strike | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sargeant Drive | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Buff | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Unpredictable | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Frisky Magician | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ghost Giant | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Colonel Tom | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Outrageous Bet | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Blue Belt | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Catch a Cab | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Discretionary Marq | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | The Crocheron Kid | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Robey’s Boy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Shiraz | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 5 | Benevolence | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 16 | 7 | Five Star Bunt | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 4 | Royal Asset | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 15 | 6 | Tribecca | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 3 | Ethan Hunt | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 2 | Wicked Macho | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Stay Good | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | First Dawn | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Simmering Miss | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Our Marikka | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lovely Escort | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Breeze | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wild With Style | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Reyana Reya Dreams | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.