Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, November 14, 2018

November 14, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Purchasing Power 1.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Malibu Strings 1.60 3.1 6-1
5 5 Incubator 4.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Won’t Be Missed 15.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Magnetron 6.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Too Fast to Pass 3.00 SCRATCH
1A 1 Spartiatis 0.60 2 4-1
2 2 Toohottoevenspeak 6.00 3.3 6-1
5A 5 Big Guy Ian 0.60 3.9 7-1
3 3 Chosen One Elijah 20.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Alright Alright 4.50 4.4 8-1
4 4 Holding Aces 20.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Sea of Hope 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 He’s No Lemon 4.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Wild Boar 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 All in Charge 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Rochambeau 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Demarchelier (GB) 2.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Seismic Wave 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Moretti 3.50 1.9 4-1
5 4 Vineyard Sound 5.00 4 8-1
6 5 Bourbon War 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 2 State of War 10.00 4.3 8-1
13 8 Greyes Creek 4.00 4.5 9-1
4 3 Stilts 12.00 5.7 11-1
16 9 Lone Pioneer 8.00 6.5 12-1
9 7 Eagle Two 10.00 6.8 13-1
7 6 Art Object 20.00 7.1 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Magician’s Vanity 5.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Blissful Breeze 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Starving Artist 3.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Awsum Roar 2.50 SCRATCH
4 4 Cleo 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Hollywood Cat 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Esther the Queen 10.00 SCRATCH
12 5 Our Girl Abby 2.50 3.3 6-1
13 6 Fashiononthesurge 1.60 3.5 7-1
11 4 Paranoia 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 2 Questeq 10.00 3.9 7-1
8 3 Miss Bob 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 1 Stars Wilburn 30.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Unrepented 15.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Curiousncuriouser 2.00 2.3 4-1
5 4 Archumybaby 4.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Satin Sheets 2.50 4.1 8-1
3 2 Ranger Lady 12.00 4.1 8-1
4 3 Moondance Joy 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Clairvoyant Lady 4.50 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Storm Prophet 1.80 2.6 5-1
3 3 Point to Remember 2.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Hollywood Strike 12.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Sargeant Drive 2.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Mr. Buff 3.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Unpredictable 30.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Frisky Magician 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Ghost Giant 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Colonel Tom 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Outrageous Bet 3.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Blue Belt 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Catch a Cab 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Discretionary Marq 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 The Crocheron Kid 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Robey’s Boy 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Shiraz 8.00 3.7 7-1
13 5 Benevolence 2.50 3.9 7-1
16 7 Five Star Bunt 2.00 4.2 8-1
10 4 Royal Asset 6.00 4.2 8-1
15 6 Tribecca 4.50 4.5 8-1
9 3 Ethan Hunt 10.00 4.5 9-1
8 2 Wicked Macho 20.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Stay Good 2.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 First Dawn 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Simmering Miss 1.80 4.3 8-1
4 4 Our Marikka 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Lovely Escort 5.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Sweet Breeze 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Wild With Style 10.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Reyana Reya Dreams 20.00 7.3 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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