November 12, 2018 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Shoeless |
2.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Risque’s Affair |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Back to Us |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
I Had to Laugh |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sacrificing It All |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Game Changer |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
King’s Gold |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lt. Columbo |
20.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Paid by Parm |
30.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
5 |
Flipped |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
2X |
5 |
E J’s Revenge |
1.60 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
4 |
The Forty Factor |
3.50 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
1A |
7 |
Spirit Special |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
3 |
Silver Assault |
10.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
9 |
10 |
Informality |
12.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
7 |
8 |
Optic Way |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
9 |
Where You Was |
4.50 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
3 |
1 |
Big Lie |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
4 |
2 |
Vinnyvinvincent |
20.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
Infuriated |
20.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Dudes Rockin Lady |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
5 |
Gator Girl |
1.80 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Empty House |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hopeful Angel |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Tears and Roses |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
4 |
Clarista |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hasty Nic |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
6 |
King’s House |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Brickyard Kitten |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
1A |
6 |
King Dublin |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
3 |
Ruble |
5.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
5 |
Fara’s Kid |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
2 |
I Wanda Win |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
4 |
The Pooch |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
1 |
He’s Cotton |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Diviner |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Shanghai Check |
3.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jimmy Idontknowya |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Country Squire |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
March Screamer |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Pawn It Back |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ali |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rebel Traveller |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Irish Meadow |
15.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Crazy Idea |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Passport |
30.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Ranger in Paradise |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
11 |
11 |
Vegas Strip |
3.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Midnight Games |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Rockin Cowboy |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sight Line |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
In Equality |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
American Roma |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Klaatu |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
To the Victor |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
General Bellamy |
15.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
2 |
2 |
Refuseing |
20.00 |
9.4 |
18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Miss Avalon |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Saint Main Event |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sweet Maggie Mae |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mill and Gloria |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Shes Julia Child |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ignite |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Perennial |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
3 |
Wentzylvania |
1.60 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Hit It Once More |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1A |
7 |
G Zap |
1.60 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
7 |
8 |
Degrom |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
2 |
Wait for It |
2.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ruby Bleu |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
1 |
Quality Asset |
10.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fast Runner |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Imperial Lady |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Anissa |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
10 |
9 |
Stroll Action |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lucky Stash |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Trapps Star |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Little Miss May |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Betty’s Favorite |
12.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
11 |
10 |
Little Lu |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
8 |
7 |
Gemodixie |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Habibi |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
9 |
8 |
Sister Wendy |
30.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
12 |
11 |
Schwartzology |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.