Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, November 11, 2018

November 11, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Encierro 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Field Patrol 8.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Mo Speed 1.60 2.1 4-1
7 5 Tricky Magician 1.80 2.3 4-1
4 3 Madsam 10.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Lucky Street 12.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Personal Journey 20.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 The Boss Factor 1.40 2.1 4-1
4 4 Just Like Larry 3.50 2.9 5-1
7 7 Matthews’ Orb 4.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Rising Star 6.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Brutus 10.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Flying Curlin 10.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Majestic Melody 12.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Raf 15.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Where’s the Widget 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Noble Thought 2.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 Golden Spear 2.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Eminent Force 3.50 3.4 6-1
6 6 Tale of the Nile 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Kaigun 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Gorgeous Kitten 6.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Badjeros Boy 12.00 6 11-1
4 4 Remembermis 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 If You Only Knew 2.50 3.3 6-1
9 9 Atiya 3.00 4 8-1
4 4 Petite Amie 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Courtly Diva 4.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Happycrest 10.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Dontdropurcrop 8.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Show Me the Prize 20.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 High Seas Romance 20.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Whileyousleeping 15.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Wildcat Rising 20.00 8.7 16-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Miss Artie Deco 2.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Silent Tango 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Calais Cove 3.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Echo Bay 8.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Mamita’s Chica 4.50 4.8 9-1
6 6 Henry’s Honey 10.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Audrey Grace 6.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Fleck 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Lisa’s Escarpment 2.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Forest Halo 3.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 L. A. House 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Macho Bourbon 3.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Jack’s Memory 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Lonhro’scollection 6.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Unlimited Resource 12.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Treasure Finder 20.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Fact Checking 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Subzero Plus 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Glorious Entry 3.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 Silent Respect 2.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 World Riot 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Desert Poem 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Boogie With Me 10.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 My Silent Present 20.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Delly 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Glorious Song S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Si Si Tequila 1.60 1.8 3-1
3 3 Devious Charm 2.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Souper Charlotte 1.80 3.4 6-1
1 1 Dancing Doll 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Above All Names 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Touch of Disney 2.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Ted W 2.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Red Fever 4.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Nashville Knight 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Constantino 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Three Ring Circus 8.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Ratface Macdougall 10.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Rexton 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ickymasho (GB) 1.20 1.9 4-1
1 1 Dreams Are Free 4.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Silhouette 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Sparkles’ Girl 2.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Crumlin Queen 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Daddy’s Great Bay 20.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Deesse Nike 20.00 6.6 12-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Run to the Bank 2.50 2.4 5-1
8 8 Bourbon Soul 2.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Willy’s Castle 3.50 4 8-1
3 3 Kitten’s Solution 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Happy’s Causeway 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Spanish River 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Crown Prince 20.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Majestic Goldminer 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Marsantropist 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Cosmic Love (GB) 3.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Hot Cash 2.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Perfection Cat 5.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Beautiful Street 8.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Mystic Nile 6.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Belle Danseuse 20.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Princess Royal 20.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Power Empire (JPN) 10.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Sothatsthewayitis 15.00 7 13-1
6 6 I Look Incredible 20.00 7.1 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.