November 11, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Girl Downstairs | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Believe Indeed | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bunny Yogurt | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ok Doll | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Award It | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Indypendent Deputy | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tivat | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Creative Contessa | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dancing Belle | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Giveherdalute | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Johansson | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Waze Ready | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sandona Girl | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Banze No Oeste (BRZ) | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trapalanda | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sense of Glory | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Above Board | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Exotic Ghost | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Eagle | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Treasure Hunter | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Italiano | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Neighborhood Bully | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spa Shackalacka | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Redesign | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wild Verse | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Bar | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shaky Alibi | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rumpus Cat | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aussie Fox | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Falcone | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mo Bob (IRE) | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magnum Maduro | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silver Fury | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Rounding for Home | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Fast Cotton | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Optimum | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Ballad | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Grand Minister | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Harley’s Pride | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sought Bai | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fleetwood | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mikeys Glory | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dude’s Dude | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | The Bull Mousse | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Spirit Mission | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Souter (GB) | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hot American | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Worthy Turk | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Snazzy Dresser | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | East Rand | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | It’s Tiz Time | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Gray Admiral | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ayacara (GB) | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Betty Grable S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mo See Cal | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Love a Honeybadger | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Spiced Perfection | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Show It N Moe It | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Just Grazed Me | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | S Y Sky | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Meet and Greet | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | One Fast Broad | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Gorgeous Ginny | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Powder | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Discatsonthesquare | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Operandi | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bako Sweets | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Judicial | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coco Kisses | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shylock Eddie | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Herunbridledpower | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Charmingslew | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Great Ma Neri | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gypsy Blu | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Pass | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.