November 11, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Girl Downstairs 1.60 1.9 4-1
1 1 Believe Indeed 3.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Bunny Yogurt 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Ok Doll 5.00 4 8-1
3 3 Award It 5.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Indypendent Deputy 10.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tivat 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Creative Contessa 2.50 2.2 4-1
7 6 Dancing Belle 4.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Giveherdalute 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 5 Johansson 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Waze Ready 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Sandona Girl 20.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Banze No Oeste (BRZ) 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Trapalanda 2.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Sense of Glory 3.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Above Board 4.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Exotic Ghost 4.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Silent Eagle 8.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Treasure Hunter 4.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Italiano 2.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Neighborhood Bully 2.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Spa Shackalacka 6.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Redesign 10.00 5 9-1
3 3 Wild Verse 6.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Royal Bar 10.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Shaky Alibi 2.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Rumpus Cat 2.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Aussie Fox 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Falcone 6.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Mo Bob (IRE) 3.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Magnum Maduro 12.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Silver Fury 12.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Rounding for Home 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Fast Cotton 3.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Optimum 2.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Irish Ballad 10.00 4.8 9-1
10 9 Grand Minister 5.00 5 9-1
7 7 Harley’s Pride 6.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Sought Bai 15.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Fleetwood 15.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Mikeys Glory 10.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Dude’s Dude 20.00 7.1 13-1
11 10 The Bull Mousse 20.00 8.7 16-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Spirit Mission 0.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Souter (GB) 2.50 2.3 4-1
5 4 Hot American 3.50 3.4 6-1
4 3 Worthy Turk 3.00 3.4 6-1
3 2 Snazzy Dresser 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 5 East Rand 6.00 4.7 9-1
9 8 It’s Tiz Time 15.00 6.1 11-1
2 1 Gray Admiral 15.00 6.2 12-1
7 6 Ayacara (GB) 15.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Betty Grable S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Mo See Cal 12.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Love a Honeybadger 5.00 3 6-1
4 3 Spiced Perfection 3.00 3.1 6-1
5 4 Show It N Moe It 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 2 Just Grazed Me 2.50 4.3 8-1
8 7 S Y Sky 5.00 4.8 9-1
6 5 Meet and Greet 12.00 5.3 10-1
7 6 One Fast Broad 8.00 5.7 11-1
9 8 Gorgeous Ginny 15.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Powder 0.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Discatsonthesquare 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Operandi 2.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Bako Sweets 3.50 3 6-1
9 9 Judicial 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Coco Kisses 8.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Shylock Eddie 4.00 5 9-1
7 7 Herunbridledpower 15.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Charmingslew 10.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Great Ma Neri 12.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Gypsy Blu 15.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Don’t Pass 20.00 8.6 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.