November 11, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bustin Free 5.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Karabessa 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Infatuation 2.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Ok Honey 4.50 3.2 6-1
7 6 Ash n’ Em 2.50 4.1 8-1
5 4 Congrats Ellen 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Big Brown Cat 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Fillet of Sole 1.60 1.8 3-1
2 2 Ride On Faith 2.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Best Surprise 3.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Go Big Or Go Home 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Money Illusion 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Fun Prospect 15.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 One River Place 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Mohican 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Heavy Meddle 2.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Tale of Mist 6.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Asterisk 8.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Playwright 5.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Dooley 15.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Canoochee 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Eight Minute Ellie 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Way Smart 2.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Millie’s Journey 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Laura’s Patriot 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Shanghai Glory 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Sweet Connie Girl 2.00 2 4-1
14 8 Free Kitty 2.50 3.4 7-1
8 5 Sheputaspellonme 8.00 4.2 8-1
13 7 Rag Top 3.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Votre Coeur 5.00 5.1 10-1
9 6 Alley to Calvary 8.00 5.2 10-1
6 4 Bidding Circle 12.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Goodnight Moon 15.00 7.2 14-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Just Right 2.00 2 4-1
3 3 Strong One 2.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Riken 2.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Pipes 5.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Durkin’s Call 12.00 5 9-1
5 5 Americano 6.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Aikenetta 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Best Performance 2.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Pink Sands 3.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Untaken 8.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Held Accountable 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Goodbye Brockley 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Munchkin Money 2.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Brattata 4.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Vortex Road 8.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 War Canoe 6.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Cilantro 10.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Shalailah (IRE) 5.00 6 11-1
2 2 Gondora (GER) 8.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 Initiate 15.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Remarqued 15.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Too Charming 12.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 John Jones 5.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Doyouknowsomething 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Outplay 3.00 2.5 5-1
5 4 Daddy D T 4.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Langdarma 6.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Hardly a Secret 4.50 4 7-1
7 5 Mills 8.00 4.4 8-1
8 6 Rocky Tough 6.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Stewart Manor S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Music of Life 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Monette (FR) 5.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Dragic 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Regal Glory 3.00 2.9 5-1
10 9 Introduced 4.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Brooke Marie 8.00 5 9-1
5 4 Guacamole 15.00 5.4 10-1
9 8 Red Hot Dame 12.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Tradeable 20.00 6 11-1
8 7 Jaded Lady 20.00 7.4 14-1
7 6 Shak’s Hidden Gem 30.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – New York Stallion Series S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Highway Star 1.60 2.1 4-1
9 9 Frost Wise 5.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Frostie Anne 4.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Fair Regis 6.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Andesine 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Starlite Mission 8.00 5.5 10-1
11 11 Frosty Margarita 8.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Bluegrass Flag 20.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Our Super Nova 50.00 8 15-1
7 7 She’s Delightful 30.00 9 17-1
3 3 Aunt Babe 50.00 9.4 18-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.