November 10, 2018 Del Mar Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
First Stone |
0.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
6 |
Bahamian |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sir Eddie |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Seahawk Wave |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Shanghai Billy |
8.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Spanish Bay |
4.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Goldie’s Hills |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Persuasive Cat |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Anziyan Cat |
30.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
We Will Re Joyce |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Atrevida |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Ciao Luna |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bragging Rights |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Easter Dream |
4.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Queen Shelly Ann |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Mongolian Rahy |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Alystar |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Don’tbeboisterous |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Gotta Be Lucky |
10.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Sedamar |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
10 |
9 |
Apache Princess |
4.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Stylin Ocean |
4.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
The Pet |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Twirling Diamond |
20.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Boolicious |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Autumn Isabella |
30.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Lindante |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
London Legacy |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Stringent |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fire to the Wire |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tavasco Road |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Aberdeen Island |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Super Touch |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Colonial Creed |
3.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mercy Mercy |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Flying Blue |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
My Sweet Baboo |
2.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Grateful Praise |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Truffalino |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Hurley |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bellazano |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
After the Rose |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Fashion Island |
8.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Carrie’s Success |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Jabber Now |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Lucky Val |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Swallows Inn Gal |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sea Glass |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Majestic Authority |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dressed in Prada |
8.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cee Sam’s Girl |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Wicked Sunset |
20.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
3 |
3 |
Greater Glory |
20.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Let It Ride S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Prince Earl |
2.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Afleet Ascent |
3.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Calexman |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fight On |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Choo Choo |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Extrordinary Jerry |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Risky Proposition |
10.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Shivermetimbers |
1.80 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Ike Walker |
2.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Curlin Road |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Captain Scotty |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pepe Tono |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mongolian Groom |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Engram |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Encanta |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bizwhacks |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Tapwater |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ask the Customer |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Out of Balance |
5.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Giza Goddess |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Hyde Park Corner (IRE) |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Samandah |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Reachreachreach |
20.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
7 |
7 |
Landon |
20.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.