November 10, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kiki N King 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Wacky Pal 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Icey Cash 15.00 SCRATCH
1A 1 Worth a Shot 6.00 SCRATCH
8 4 Scotty Brown 2.00 2.2 4-1
13 9 Show Prince 2.50 3.3 6-1
11 7 Southern Brigade 3.50 4 8-1
7 3 Quiet Out East 3.00 4.2 8-1
14A 10 Beachside 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 1 Trance 6.00 5.1 10-1
12 8 Highest Rank 8.00 6.8 13-1
9 5 Kid Chocolate 20.00 7.3 14-1
6 2 Awesome Adversary 30.00 7.6 14-1
10 6 Not That Brady 30.00 8.7 16-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Southeast 1.60 2.1 4-1
6 6 Felix in Fabula 2.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Merger of Banks 3.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 There Goes Jose 5.00 4 8-1
4 4 Vicar’s Legend 12.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Gio Lucky 8.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Till Then 1.80 2 4-1
3 3 Family Biz 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Haikal 5.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Mine the Coin 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Classic Romeo 4.50 4.8 9-1
6 6 Dillon Rocks 15.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Illume 8.00 6.2 12-1
8 8 Loverboy Lou 30.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Lil Commissioner 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Sport 2.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Risky Sour 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Lemon Blitz 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Ten Eyck 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Overnight Success 2.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Florentine Kitten 30.00 SCRATCH
13 6 Expert 1.40 2.8 5-1
12 5 Stronger 2.00 3.1 6-1
5 2 Pocket Player 10.00 4.1 8-1
14 7 Curlin’s New Moon 5.00 4.5 9-1
10 4 American Ninja 10.00 4.7 9-1
7 3 On Patrol 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 1 Rockin Jo 15.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Corcoran 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Motagally 2.50 2.9 5-1
5 5 Erlich 4.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Tacitus 2.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Skyline Surprise 3.50 4.2 8-1
3 3 Bridgetothefuture 30.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Ninja Dust 20.00 5 9-1
4 4 Calamity Kat 12.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Atlantic Beach S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Gins and Tins 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Good Good 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Backtohisroots 1.60 2.1 4-1
7 5 Absentee 2.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Wallace 5.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Neverland Rock (GB) 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 4 Honorable Hero 12.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Strong Side 4.00 3 6-1
3 3 American Power 3.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Four Freedoms 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Take It to Scale 4.50 4.9 9-1
1 1 Malibu Action 10.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Consensus Thinking 5.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 American Rule 12.00 6.1 11-1
7 7 Flatexcel 8.00 6.3 12-1
5 5 Truly a Moon Shot 15.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Artie Schiller S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Proforma 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Dalarna 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Qurbaan 3.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Papa Zulu 3.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Projected (GB) 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Blacktype (FR) 4.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Bricks and Mortar 2.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Dr. Edgar 10.00 SCRATCH
2 1 Profiteer 10.00 2.3 4-1
12 4 Exulting 1.40 2.6 5-1
4 3 Black Tide 15.00 3.2 6-1
3 2 Backsideofthemoon 30.00 3.8 7-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10A 10 Buss the Bell 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Takeoff 2.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 The Chamo 3.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Can’tweallgetalong 5.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Pirate’s Treasure 6.00 4.1 8-1
8A 8 Cookie Crisp 10.00 5 9-1
7 7 Spa Jazz 8.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Abominable Snowman 10.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 The I Man 12.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Shipsandgoods 15.00 7.4 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.