November 8, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Belinda | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Toshita Forever | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Bulletsandbourbon | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | French Roast | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Red Princess | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ranger Connection | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wakeway Dancer | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Liz’s Legend | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | One K Queen | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Swift Lisa | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Last Destiny | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Safe Keeping | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hansen’s Holiday | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Final Argument | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Classic Greeley | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Em C | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Theycalledhimbig | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Huffs Untouchable | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bad Temptation | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Little Mario | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Skedaddle Babe | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Our Lady’s Prayer | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Victorious Gold | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Our Diamond | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Racin Prayer | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blazing Sensation | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mary’s Wish | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Song for Heddings | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nash Lee Security | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Commanding Action | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Gone Pecan | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Star Countess | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Winnie the Roo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Poker Fever Gal | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Nile Show | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Backstage Star | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bermuda Bridge | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Gio Point | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Floatie | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Indian Bayou | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Hot Wired | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Majino | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uknowiaintlying | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Super Super Sassy | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | We Girls Rule | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Thrill Is On | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Any Ole Thing | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brown Gravy | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Racy | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vidrine’s Choice | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Frontier Hero | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lorrie G | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Ready Cat | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Speedpoint | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mysterious Kingdom | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sarah Ann’s Pointe | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Headstrong Woman | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Untuttable Speed | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Suede Ransom | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trappe Me | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sassy Kylie | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Cool Deal | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Outoftheballpark | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Hotsy Dotsy | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tom and Ed’s Girl | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | April Mae | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Realmente Calmada | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Star of Kobol | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Glory Be True | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wise Woman | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cheryl’s Copy | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | I’m a Great Rebel | 30.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Shane Doan | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Etbauer’s Ide | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Spinning Pegasus | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gentlemens Half | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lanies Choice | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bitsy’s Carlos | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Rod | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aztec Delite | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gary | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sparky Top | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I Got Style | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kelcorcee | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | D’rocketman | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Flat Out Love | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Valyrian | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Pop Culture | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bow and Arrow | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hold Me Black | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Cash for the Soul | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Jack With Seven | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | D’money Honey | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Keep the Commish | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Four Princesses | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Girl Thirsty | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Shezaone | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Somethingroyal P | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Labelhermypal | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ratatouille | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Angel Cat | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Zarb’s Winnie | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Delightful Soul | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sattersfield | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Puckerupandkissme | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Emery’s Dream | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.