November 8, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Little Song | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Minit Maus | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Thatza Prankster | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Zip It Jess | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Gunboat Diplomacy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mike’s Girl | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Vitanza | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Valencia Vale | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 4 | Pioneerof New York | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Jot | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 14 | 6 | Forever Changed | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Mz Seb Pat | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 16 | 8 | Fight On Lucy | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Gattino Marrone | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sarah’s Rainbow | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 15 | 7 | Annette’s Humor | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Carrera Cat | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mrs. Orb | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Alana | 30.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Scarlet’s Command | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | That’s Smart | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Letthemooseloose | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Giant Ending | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moment of Triumph | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’sgotthebeat | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sierra Leona | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Caoimhe | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Havana Affair | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bail Out | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Carom | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7B | 7 | Propagate | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8C | 8 | Timepiece | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Le Condor (GER) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Kandinsky | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 4 | Strategic Outlook | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Duncastle | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 11B | 5 | Business Cycle | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6A | 3 | Tiz Morning | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bad Guy | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12C | 6 | Zealous | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Malibu Mischief | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Honey I’m Good | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | South of France | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Girl of Tosconova | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Movie Score | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Three Birds | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jazzy J | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ruvies in Time | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Kerry Boy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Smokin Platinum | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Inalienable Rights | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Freud’s Affair | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Lem Me Tel Ya | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sparky | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dr. Baskin | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nutzforboltz | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Alien Season | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Constant Knight | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Imvros Pride | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | River Knight | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mystical Song | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | American Power | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Playwright | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4A | 3 | Pocket Personality | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | Single Gem | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Trustworthy | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Singapore Trader | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | D’ambrosio | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shadow Rider | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Union Wise | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Gravitating | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Langdarma | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mills | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Queen of Connaught (GB) | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Mr Maybe | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Krewe Chief | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Not in Charge | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Sentry | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Testosterstone | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Nims | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Lucky Ramsey | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Storm Alfeet | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | The Mason Factor | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Wild William | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Causforcelebration | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | No Worries Mate | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Our Last Buck | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tammany Giant | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | There He Goes | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Thefinalcrazydude | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Martini Lane | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Da King and I | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Finn’s Posse | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Man of Chrome | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Blessed Honour | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.