November 8, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Little Song 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Minit Maus 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Thatza Prankster 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Zip It Jess 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Gunboat Diplomacy 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Mike’s Girl 2.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Vitanza 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Valencia Vale 10.00 SCRATCH
8 4 Pioneerof New York 3.50 3.1 6-1
2 1 Jot 5.00 3.1 6-1
14 6 Forever Changed 2.00 3.8 7-1
6 3 Mz Seb Pat 10.00 4.8 9-1
16 8 Fight On Lucy 3.50 4.9 9-1
10 5 Gattino Marrone 8.00 5.2 10-1
3 2 Sarah’s Rainbow 30.00 5.7 11-1
15 7 Annette’s Humor 10.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dancingwthdaffodls 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Carrera Cat 1.40 2.3 4-1
5 4 Mrs. Orb 1.80 3.2 6-1
1 1 Princess Alana 30.00 3.4 6-1
4 3 Scarlet’s Command 5.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 That’s Smart 3.50 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Letthemooseloose 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Giant Ending 1.60 2 4-1
3 3 Moment of Triumph 4.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 She’sgotthebeat 5.00 4 8-1
5 5 Sierra Leona 6.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Caoimhe 12.00 4.5 8-1
7 6 Havana Affair 8.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bail Out 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Carom 6.00 SCRATCH
7B 7 Propagate 6.00 SCRATCH
8C 8 Timepiece 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Le Condor (GER) 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Kandinsky 2.50 SCRATCH
10 4 Strategic Outlook 4.50 3 6-1
1A 1 Duncastle 10.00 3.2 6-1
11B 5 Business Cycle 6.00 3.3 6-1
6A 3 Tiz Morning 10.00 4 8-1
2 2 Bad Guy 20.00 4.3 8-1
12C 6 Zealous 12.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Malibu Mischief 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Honey I’m Good 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 South of France 2.50 2.9 6-1
1 1 Girl of Tosconova 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Movie Score 4.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Three Birds 15.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Jazzy J 15.00 5.6 11-1
8 7 Ruvies in Time 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Kerry Boy 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Smokin Platinum 1.60 SCRATCH
8 8 Inalienable Rights 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Freud’s Affair 2.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Lem Me Tel Ya 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Sparky 2.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Dr. Baskin 4.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Nutzforboltz 3.00 4.3 8-1
9 8 Alien Season 3.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 Constant Knight 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Imvros Pride 15.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 River Knight 12.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Mystical Song 15.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 American Power 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Playwright 10.00 SCRATCH
4A 3 Pocket Personality 3.50 3.2 6-1
2A 2 Single Gem 3.50 3.3 6-1
10 8 Trustworthy 2.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Singapore Trader 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 6 D’ambrosio 5.00 4.8 9-1
6 5 Shadow Rider 6.00 5.2 10-1
5 4 Union Wise 30.00 5.7 11-1
9 7 Gravitating 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Langdarma 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Mills 4.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Queen of Connaught (GB) 8.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Mr Maybe 3.00 2.9 6-1
9 6 Krewe Chief 1.80 3.3 6-1
4 3 Not in Charge 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 4 Sentry 4.00 4 8-1
1 1 Testosterstone 10.00 4.1 8-1
8 5 Nims 15.00 5.6 11-1
10 7 Lucky Ramsey 12.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Storm Alfeet 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 The Mason Factor 4.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Wild William 1.60 SCRATCH
11 11 Causforcelebration 3.50 SCRATCH
4 4 No Worries Mate 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Our Last Buck 3.00 2.4 5-1
5 4 Tammany Giant 12.00 3.9 7-1
10 8 There He Goes 2.50 3.9 7-1
6 5 Thefinalcrazydude 8.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Martini Lane 30.00 5 9-1
3 3 Da King and I 30.00 5.6 11-1
9 7 Finn’s Posse 20.00 5.8 11-1
13 9 Man of Chrome 20.00 7 13-1
7 6 Blessed Honour 50.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides┬áno warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.