November 7, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Face It | 0.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Acting Chipper | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Captain Livi | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sierra Sarah | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kingdom’s Queen | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Know Point Given | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Perspicacious | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Naples Legacy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Tigalalu | 0.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Out of Trouble | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Unbridledadventure | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Indy’s Lady | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Reed Kan | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Swiping Dan | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Regal Quality | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Long Gray Line | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Analyze the Odds | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hoard | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Blackjack Baby | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Call Wil | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Nice Tune | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bow Tie Affair | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tiz a Chance | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Wicked Freud | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Canarsie Kid | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Tiffanys Freud | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Get a Valentine | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 5 | Too Fast to Pass | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 6 | Missle Bomb | 1.40 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 4 | Benefactor | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Francis Freud | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Chosen One Elijah | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Way Over Budget | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Jordy’s Ready | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flying Pleasantly | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lolli | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Burkey’s Babe | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Kiss | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Montana Skeptic | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Abeja Negra | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Blissful Breeze | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Purely Lucky | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Radiant Beauty | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Discreet Image | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Wish Upon | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Questeq | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Miss Bob | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Codrington | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | B Three | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Blue Atlas | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 1 | Vip Nation | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Star Flare | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 2 | Arch of Troy | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 15 | 3 | Three Eighty Eight | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Miss Jen | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 16A | 4 | My Girl Annie | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Helooksthepart | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bitumen | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Full Salute | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Getoffmyback | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Belt | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roman Approval | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Beaux Arts | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Something Joyful | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Wantagh Queen | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Spa Treatment | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Louisiana Lady | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lulu’s Pom Pom | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Hollywood Cat | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 2 | Mama Mary | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Dream Passage | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Tiz a Kitten | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 15 | 8 | Salty Smile | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 7 | Beautiful Buzz | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Truly Courageous | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Cirque | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 16 | 9 | Carlisle Belle | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Sundance Joy | 50.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Koala Bear | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Packed House | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Crater Rim | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Platinum Nugget | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 8 | Shamrock Kid | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Curlin’s Legacy | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Santo Antonio | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Run for Boston | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Train in Vain | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Riendo | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 15 | 11 | Cuarenta | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Millies Party Boy | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Shuffling Madness | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Big Horn Ranger | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 16 | 12 | Theresa’s Boy | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 10 | Decadence | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.