November 4, 2018 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mystery Messenger | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Irish Roar (IRE) | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seventh Wonder | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trappeze Artist | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bobby Bittman | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lion’s Goldenheart | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Garrison’s Charge | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chestnut Grove | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Cape Nero | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Timberlea | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Cardinal Kitten | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Sandy Bay | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Peacock Kitten | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Full Extreme | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Lion’s Share | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Not Orbinary | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baytown Jimbo | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Federal Law | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Insider Trading | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Almost Perfect | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grimgrinnin’ Ghost | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Truly Elite | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Del La Hoya | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sniper | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pugsley | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Too Many Egbert’s | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Th Original Scotty | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vilma | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mister Nada | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Donation | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Neil’s Diamond | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Another Bid | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jimmies Truck | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Comedy Gold | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Our Karma | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rakeitin | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Islay Inlet | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Dilly Dally Darby | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Love to Learn | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Ravinia | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Fresh Dreams | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Marcherdowntheally | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Patton’s Girl | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Secret Masquerade | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Larkwood | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Without a Doubt | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Now Play Nice | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Itsinthestars | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Curluck | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Fuhr Love | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Goldtown | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Princess Elizabeth S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tiz Breathtaking | 0.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bold Script | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Azalea | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Malibu Dawn | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A Broken Breeze | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flat Out Vixen | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mercury Rising | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Sadie Irene | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Essential | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ten K Diva | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | House On the Hill | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Best Dressed | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cheetahra | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | High Seas Romance | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lost a Sock | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | D’s Mulligan | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Wild Honey | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Loco | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Julie’s Tap Dancer | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bold n’ Foxy | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Occasional View | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Abbaa | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Marten Lake | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Slip Kid | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Puntrooskie | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stormy Rush | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Brass Compass | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forest Brother | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Flash | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Nevaeh’s Valentine | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Run Away | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Leonard’s Bay | 2.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Monastrell | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nestleton Hush | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Timeskip | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sent From Heaven | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Track D Gold | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Prideofdistinction | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cat’s Whisper | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sassy Ombre | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Indiantown Sunrise | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wild N Clever | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady of Moray | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Opeongo | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Coca Inn | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Splendid Glory | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Commission Angel | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Adopted Family | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bellelarama | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Signature Twirl | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Prison Padre | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Fine Grit | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Handsome Like Me | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | O’Kram | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Twiceaslucky | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kissoffire (IRE) | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Atlantic Crossing | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wardo | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Athena’s Legacy | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red September | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Steve’s Sonata | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Street Cat Sam | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hope Vision | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Easter Gold | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Track That Echo | 20.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.