November 4, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Samurai Jack | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tanker | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Indy Jones | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thin Line | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Carbon Zero | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Saltarin | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Red Clem | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Anvil Rock | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magic Bro | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | You Must Chill | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Musketier | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rak City | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blaze of Glory | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Odyssey Explorer | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spend It | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Serve Me a Double | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Game of Roans | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stay Golden | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Desert Fox | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Handicap)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Princess Kendra | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Student | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ipray | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Briartic Gal | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Princess Leia | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bonneville Flats | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Goldikova S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cambodia | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vasilika | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fahan Mura | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lull | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Madame Stripes (ARG) | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’m Betty G | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | La Sardane (FR) | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beau Recall (IRE) | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Forestation | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Calder Vale | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mayan Warrior | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Runningwscissors | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Violent Behavior | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Take Charge Lucky | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Dinero | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Irish Polo | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Mr Bingley | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Diamond Blitz | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | S On My Chest | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | A Salute to Lt Dan | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Empirical Data | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mad At Money | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Lauren’s Ladd | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Placido | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Tiz a Billy | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Perfectly Majestic | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | My Man Chuckles | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hitters Park | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | K Thirty Eight | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Castle | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Allaboutmike | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Jan’s Reserve | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Flynn | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | For the Hustle | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bartlett Hall | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pastorelli | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Powerful Thirst | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Conversate | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Supreme Giant | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Emotional Ride | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Salutelute | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Doheny Beach | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | War Link | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Braggart | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Silver Badge | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Calie View | 50.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Twilight Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Prince Earl | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | River Boyne (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kazan (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Have At It | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Majestic Eagle | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Pubilius Syrus | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Platinum Warrior (IRE) | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Andesh (IRE) | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Desert Stone (IRE) | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Epical | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Arch Prince | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ferguson | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Surfing Star | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lord Guinness | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jungle Warfare | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kylemore | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Longden (GB) | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pleasant d’Oro | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Paddock Pick | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Touch | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Violent Ridge | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Major Cabbie | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Salah | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Neptune’s Storm | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Farquhar | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Speakerofthehouse | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Weekly Call | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dyf | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Northwestern | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Knight’s Cross | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Felix Leiter | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Leader of Men | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Union Station | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Red Valor | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Zorich | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.