November 4, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Ding Dong Ditch | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Inle | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Shiloh Lane | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Frost Phantom | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Wicked Trick | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Big Muddy | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Novus | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Support Our Cause | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bob in Our Midst | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mysterio | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Well in Tune | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Linns Boy | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Have Another | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Wine Not | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Barahin | 1.80 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stan the Man | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Honor Up | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | American Rule | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Center City | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | American Wish | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Catch Me If U Can | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Eliav | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tiger Man | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Pollo | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | T. Jay’s Last Call | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Quick Connect | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Awad S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Kentucky Wildcat | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Empire of War | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | A Thread of Blue | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Life Mission | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Order and Law | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Absolved | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Honorable Hero | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ole Mole | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Vici | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sudden Surprise | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Life in Shambles | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Still Krz | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | Take Cover | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Spring to the Sky | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Dowse’s Beach | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Angry Moon | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Fear | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Breakin the Fever | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Abraxan | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Evan’s Nice Now | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dirty Bird | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dearly Declared | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Forgotten Hero | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queen Kantharos | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bee’snbee’s | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dancing Slippers | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Hexameter | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | My Girl Annie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Free Kitty | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Sunshine Gal | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Beautiful Buzz | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Enthusiastic Gal | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hoponthebusgus | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Arrowsphere | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Courageous Queen | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Factoring | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hit a Provisional | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Madame Barbarian | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Puparee | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Barrel of Destiny | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Nashua S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Vekoma | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | U S Navy Cross | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Call Paul | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Network Effect | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Factor It In | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Puttheglassdown | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Super Mama | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Grand Banks | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Walk of Fame | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Union Patriot | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Saratoga Sass | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Crater Rim | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Magical Romance | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Molly’s Nighthawk | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 1 | Handle With Care | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Reconsider It | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 3 | Youmakemeblush | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 16A | 6 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tequila Sunday | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 15 | 5 | Needs No Ice | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 4 | Adorable Song | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 2 | Anne’s Song | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.