November 3, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Point of Honor | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Cariba | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cambier Parc | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bay Harbor | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Utiki | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Power Gal (JPN) | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Stonewalker | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Whyisshesoolucky | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Richard the Great | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Old Upstart | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Fleet Irish | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Borsa Vento | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Zap Zap Zap | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Brimstone | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ro Bear | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Extinct Charm | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Manifest Destiny | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Durango Dan | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Japonski | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Glennrichment | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Snake Oil Charlie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 5 | Follow the Signs | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Transistor | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Admiral Blue | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Wingman | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Pretentious | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Blame the Thief | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Beyond Discreet | 1.80 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Roxy Girl | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thirsty Gal | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mohanie | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Peaches and Spice | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pas de Deuce | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gentle Annie | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bettor Bank On It | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Qian B C | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Smooth Tales | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Crack Shot | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Beach Front | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bobby Man | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Wacky Pal | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Kid Chocolate | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Capt. Courageous | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 3 | Wicked Grin | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Lost in Manhattan | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 16 | 7 | Wisecrack | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 2 | Early Retirement | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 15 | 6 | Constructor | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Mac’s Revolution | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | No More Miracles | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ekhtibaar | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Plainsman | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cloud Computing | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Snap Decision | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | J S Bach | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Weather Wiz | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Ballantine | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hammerin Aamer | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bernin’ Thru Gold | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Make Motime | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Itgot Grandma | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rags for Britches | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Performer | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | U R Not So Bad | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Umbrage | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cromwell Avenue | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | The Right Path | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Inclunation | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Doyouknowsomething | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Haul Anchor | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sycamore Lane | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wake Forest (GER) | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Neoclassic | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Natural Order | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Indebted | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wicked Freud | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bow Tie Affair | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shamcat | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aire Bueno (CHI) | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Turnback The Alarm H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Divine Miss Grey | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Teresa Z | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Moonlit Garden | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Holy Helena | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bishop’s Pond | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Arraign | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Forever Liesl | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Retro Street | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Emma Lazarus | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sweet Timing | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | On the Town | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alasaayil | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Aunt Hattie (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hungry Kitten | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Red Robe (GB) | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Laska | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | She’s a Black Belt | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Keeneasabean | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ballet Slippers | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nymphesa (GER) | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.