October 28, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sauce On Side | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mongolian Humor | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Venue | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Wonderfully | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Demigoddess | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Still a Funny Girl | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Princess Roi | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Savannah Slew (GB) | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lynne’s Legacy | 2.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Siberian Iris (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Ninja | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twirling Apples | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Aced | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Concur | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Candy Cornell | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Outlaw | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vander Kelen | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aggressivity | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Goren | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brioso | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Twentytwentyvision | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Comes the Dream | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rapid Red | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Big Train | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Play Hard to Get | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Opportunist | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ground Rules | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Rak City | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Game of Roans | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Desert Fox | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Armed Wall | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sterling’s Temple | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Spend It | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Getaloadofthis | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Captain N. Barron | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Key to the Nile | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Elevate | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Alphadar | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Thefourfortyfourth | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Smokin B | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Obscure Brew | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Plain Wrap | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Fashionably Fast | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Preacher Roe | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hollywood Square | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jay Makes Us Laugh | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Shaymin | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | North County Guy | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Nevermissesabeat | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Love My Bud | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Silver Summer | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Duke of Fallbrook | 50.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Point Guard | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Glorious Crown | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Original Intent | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Topgallant | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Haylord | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Premium Forest | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Patrick | 50.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Livin On Prayer | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hard Arch | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Comma To The Top S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Curlin Road | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Battle of Midway | 1.60 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tatters to Riches | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | St. Joe Bay | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Roman Rosso (ARG) | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | All Out Blitz | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Very Very Stella | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Aussie Fox | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Pointed | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Implicitly | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Breakers Isle | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Falcone | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Bitter Ring Home | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Causeididitmyway | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Hachiman | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Magnum Maduro | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | When Jesus Walked | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Super Classic | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Starship Chewy | 50.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mr. Esken | 50.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.