October 28, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gypsy Janie | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Richie’slilwildcat | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Orchid Party | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pure Praise | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shanghai Glory | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Velvet Trinni | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Honorable Rose | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Ok Honey | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Middle Out | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Y’allcomenow | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Two Cent Tootsie | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eighty Seven North | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Alreadycelebrating | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Margie Cat | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Three Birds | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Tappanzee | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Libbys Innercircle | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Okeamo | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8A | 8 | Platinum Nugget | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Devilry | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Joe’s Smokin Gun | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Theresa’s Boy | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Latin Love Bug | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Ridolfo | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Neutral Zone | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4A | 3 | Friendship Seven | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Chelsey Flower S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Lucky Lips | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | On the Town | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Stormy D | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Multi Strategy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Timing | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 6 | Two Dozen Roses | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Shoobiedoobydoo | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Seek and Destroy | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Take Ten | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hollywood Glory | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Tweety Kitten | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Blewitt | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | J J’s Dreaming | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Papa Shot | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fiery Opal | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Barely Impazible | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vincento | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Here Comes Tommy | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | We Should Talk | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Blinded Vision | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Reed Kan | 1.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | What a Catch | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Joopster | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Felix in Fabula | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Belleville Spring | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hokulea | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Regalian | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Pumpkin Pie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tequilita | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sower | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiffany Case | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sexy Reasons (ARG) | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Squan’s Kingdom | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bertranda | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silly Sister | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Zagora S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tigalalu | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Arewehavingfunyet | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Indy Union | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Matty’s Magnum | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Queen of Connaught (GB) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 5 | Chipolata (FR) | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Homeland Security | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Violet Blue | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Golden Attitude | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Giovanna Blues | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | True Egyptian | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Beau Belle | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Broadway Bandit | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | American Rule | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tough Times | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tiz Morning | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Yamano Maker (JPN) | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Justinspeightofit | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bold Gem | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smidge | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.