October 27, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Spartiatis | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ranger in Paradise | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nobody Move | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Old Upstart | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lex Vegas | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King Kranz | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Toohottoevenspeak | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Major League | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Keota | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stay Fond | 0.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Track Kathern | 1.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Classic Lady | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | La Naturel (IRE) | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Free Kitty | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | My Girl Annie | 5.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Anne Dupree | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hera | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Smiles From Sadie | 4.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hit a Provisional | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mohanie | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Emerald Quality | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Forever Changed | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Abraxan | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Awesome Alana | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Evan’s Nice Now | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dirty Bird | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forgotten Hero | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queen Kantharos | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dancing Slippers | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Awad S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Till Then | 1.40 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Empire of War | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A Thread of Blue | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Order and Law | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Absolved | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kentucky Wildcat | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Good Good | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Honorable Hero | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ole Mole | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Our Circle of Love | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Science Fiction | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hurricane Sheila | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cottonwood Falls | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Avery | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bestinthebusiness | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sienna Blue Eyes (IRE) | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sierra Sarah | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Violent Times | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Eloweasel | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brattata | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Wisconsin Night | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dream Passage | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Curiousncuriouser | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quivery | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nellysford | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Catoria | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Transaction Tax | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cosita Mia | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Offer | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Aunt Babe | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bernin’ Thru Gold | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | U R Not So Bad | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Itgot Grandma | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rags for Britches | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cromwell Avenue | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Performer | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Inclunation | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ninja Dust | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bridgetothefuture | 50.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Loverboy Lou | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – English Channel S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Therapist | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mo Diddley | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hizeem | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sand Dancer | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rose’s Vision | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Brown | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smooth B | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Majestic Dunhill | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Robin Hood | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Medal of Honour (GB) | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Bold Ruler H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Coal Front | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Dozing | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Delta Prince | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Petrov | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | True Timber | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bon Raison | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Super Mama | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grand Banks | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Victoria Rose | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9A | 9 | Unparalleled | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Iridescent Morn | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Youmakemeblush | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Reconsider It | 8.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Smart Throb | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 16A | 16 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Union Patriot | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Anne’s Song | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Tequila Sunday | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Magical Romance | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Saratoga Sass | 15.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Seattle Frost | 15.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon High | 30.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.