October 26, 2018 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dev Mo | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Say It Softly | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Igottawhiteface | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mrs Howell | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ruthless Child | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cholla | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Madabouther | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Veiled Vixen | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cassidy Ave | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Linda Listen | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Elusive Bae | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hey Good Lookin | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | B Deb’s Fortune | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Molly’s Game | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bandi | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heavenly Lucky | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tart N Sassy | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Curlabella | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wegotoldyougotsold | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Simsbury | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Articulator | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Taruca | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coach Adams | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Idi | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lady Worthington | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | All Fact | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | And She’s Gone | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Freedom Passage | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Risky Ride | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Classysinger | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Ginny B | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Quiet Company | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Silent Fluidity | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | She’s a Truckin | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Alpilles | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Fancy Dress Party | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Kenai Cool | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Caliber | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Elle Factor | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 10 | Tizmywaytoday | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | D J Mac | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Morning Surprise | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Leroy Be Thy Name | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Foremost | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Duke of Monroe | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Mister Harvey | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Awe Mun | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | City Siege | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trashtalkinyankee | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Divine Favor | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Glorious Weekend | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jammin Jimtown | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mystery Witness | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | No Picture Charlie | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bundy | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Math Wizard | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Spirit Hawk | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Just Be Frank | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Here’s Carlos | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Twin Farms | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Fortythreeoeight N | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | It Is Dejavu | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Smoke Monster | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Doc Kane | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Class Won | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Out of Hydeing | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Omega | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fightingjoewheeler | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tigers Rule | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Ceevee | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Argentic (FR) | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Iconic | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bird’s Eye View | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tusk | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Vigilante | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | King Valero | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Run Wrightaway | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Haynesfest | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dulce Ride | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Truth Goddess | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cathedral Reader | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Laney | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lesley May | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | La Fee Verte | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | O’ Maggi | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Great Shot Sam | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Mari Chuy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Speedy Solution | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Peruvian Appeal | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Noble Love | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Music City Miss | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Decorated Ace | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Lightscameraaction | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Boxwood | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | No Mo Temper | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Slimey | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Reflected | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Princess Causeway | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Craft Show | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Tiz Ella | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 10 | Fun Paddy | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Arch Avenue | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Naughty Joker | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Moonfield | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Takechargmatriarch | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Live It Up | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Alizee | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ulele | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Dolce Andromeda | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Crafty’s Dream | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Wild Moment | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | High Road | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Heels | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lool Beh | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Vuyelwa | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Miss Systematic | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.