October 24, 2018 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Duchess Annie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Riesling | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Catkins | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Christa’s Kitten | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Courageous Heart | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Try This | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shackleford County | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vindisound | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Storm Stride | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 7 | Elsie’s Honor | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Headland | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Proud Emma | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Royal Angel | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2B | 10 | Sheflew | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 6 | Sweet Alternative | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kelly’s Agenda | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Anditsafact | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Carina | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Moonflower | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Infinite Zest | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Blazen Betsy | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Navajo Dreamer (IRE) | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trace | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Saranda | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ultima D | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sensible Myth | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Girl’s Night | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grogger | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Villa Savina (IRE) | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Alizee | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Moonfield | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Miss Systematic | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Semper Frey | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Paynter Up Mauk | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Shesomajestic | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Special for You | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Just Perfection | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sugar Love | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Play On | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Summer Delivery | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Take Me Home | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Upgrade Me | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Insane Maclean | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bohemian Bourbon | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Empress Sophia | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Spotitude | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Naples Trader | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Rain Drop Kid | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Daringly Bold | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Gettysburg | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Halite | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blowin Smoke | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lookin At Blessing | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | One Thirty Nine | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Al Taweel | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Operator | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | City Life | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Sippin Kitten | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Lady Beware (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Deadline | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 14 | Silver Shaker | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2B | 13 | Tropical Wave | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 2 | Kallio | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 9 | Over Thinking | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Tamit (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Rahway | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | April Fifteenth | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Sweet Oats | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Blossom Trail Miss | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Vanilla Cat | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Little Irishdancer | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 5 | Eight Town | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Majestic Affair | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Holiday Stone | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Balandeen | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mr Ashley | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hot Shot Kid | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cutler | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Lion’s Share | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Supercell | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Timbrook | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Callmecash | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Trouble Coffee | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | St. Denman | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Preacher Power | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Teryn It Up | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Untraceable | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Piocho | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sailing Solo | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Antarctic | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Apreciado | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Ammunition | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Solar Warming | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Drayke’s Channel | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.