October 24, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
C C Harris |
1.80 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Roaring Star Fire |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sunday’s Mistake |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Future Ruler |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Uncle Herbie |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sunnyonastormyday |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sholtz |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Let’s Go Boss |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Kelley’s Dream |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Star Gaze |
2.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Putsumdirtonit |
4.50 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Roadtogold |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Frontier Hero |
12.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
7 |
Any Ole Thing |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Excitable Girl |
30.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Red Caviar |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
9 |
8 |
Deep End |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
10 |
9 |
Lil Miss Grey |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
A Song for Sarah |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Our Story |
1.60 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Untuttable Speed |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sounds Like Forty |
12.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mitch’s Pins |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Jamminformel |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
10 |
9 |
Miss Ready Cat |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sassy Kylie |
20.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Speedpoint |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fickle Flash |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
9 |
8 |
Just Mallory |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Fist Full |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Captain Tyree |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
U S Officer |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cajun Star |
3.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Stanton C |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
A He’s an O’Prado |
4.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Naughty Moon |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Passing Simon |
8.00 |
5.6 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Shedrow Cocktails |
4.50 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Honeymoon Bridge |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
North Light Ridge |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Rey Zarbyev |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Samurai’s Prize |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Belinda |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Hot Rail |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Paloma Belle |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Starfish Point |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Herencia |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
U Thought U Got Me |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Perfectly Precious |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Ms Melanie |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
9 |
8 |
One Song |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
10 |
9 |
Te Na Na |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
8 |
7 |
Lil China |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Muffaletta |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Crescent Lace |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
My Nilla |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Demo Day |
4.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Her High Road |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
10 |
9 |
Open Forest |
1.60 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Forewarned Storm |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
Smokin’ Carol |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Sassy Mallory |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hansen’s Showgirl |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
6 |
5 |
Paper Doll |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
6 |
Tiz the Time |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
Old Fashion Amour |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Girls Life |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Getupbabygetup |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Wrap It Up |
2.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Toomuch |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lefthoofrightleft |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Celtic Lass |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
7 |
Chilean Queen |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Dale’s Lil Sis |
10.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Blessed Song |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Presli’s Argument |
20.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Thegoodwitch |
12.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
B B Special |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Outofthisgalaxy |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Cheers to Berti |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Oso Ready |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bolitar |
20.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
11 |
9 |
Zoot Suit |
3.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Vastjesus |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bending Saint |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
10 |
8 |
Medal of Courage |
3.50 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
9 |
7 |
Just Kissing Buck |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
7 |
6 |
C U Tiger |
30.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Debriyn |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Berko |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Little Red Kid |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Oklahoma Lizzie |
1.60 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Tick Tock Tizzy |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Navy Typist |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Clip Joint |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mr Fast Dixie Gold |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Flatteroni |
30.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Genuide |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Toast to Michael |
30.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
U Complete Me |
15.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Greeley’s Glacken |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Wristlet |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Cat’s Shining Star |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pointman |
1.60 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
R. C. Owens |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Drewmatic |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gotta A. P. B. |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Deputy Crook |
15.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Impish Babe |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Ray’s King |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Sarvelio |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Zarb’s City |
30.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.