October 21, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Pink Elephant | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Miss Nosy | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Talkless Smilemore | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bonita Springs | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Boomerang Miss | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Meow | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Secret Or Not | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ultimate Avary | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shifra Magician | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Delightful Lana | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sugar Cane Girl | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Floating By | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Koala Bear | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Monumental Vending | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | My Good Man | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Bulland | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 12 | King Orb | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tapit High | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Inle | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | King’s Pawn | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Kilronan | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Real Factor | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Art of Listening | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Rumors of Violence | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Railmaster | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Road to Oz | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bourbon Streak | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Haz a Notion | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mandel | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | His Royal Majesty | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Menacing | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blame the Kids | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Redneck Cowboy | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Roman Warrior | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Vision | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Speight’s Comete | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | You Made It | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sunday Red | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Raging Blaze | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kentucky Smooth | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shake D Moon | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Goldiluck | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | A Great Time | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Scattered Thoughts (IRE) | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beach Diva | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Soar From Shadows | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Proudly | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Firth | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Adult in the Room | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Head for the Shore | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Total Temper | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | High Sierra | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Go Metro Girl | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Facts Don’t Matter | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Ellanation | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Variance | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Waiting for a Star | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Super Twenty Five | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Derk | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mo Margarita | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fairy Wish | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Pearl Gem | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 11 | Subtle Step | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Well Blessed | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Darcy Mae | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fort Love | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Galileo’s Melody | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Turn | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Theodora B. | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pebble Road | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jokers Tothe Right | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lunar Rille | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Samurai Song | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Blue Y Gold (ARG) | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mesotherm | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Glindas Good Karma | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | High Roller | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chief of Staff | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Homespun Hero | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wild Rider | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Resiliency | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ballivor | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Bella Brown | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Sir Orinoco | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Keep Talking | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Triple Burner | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Braxton | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Jarvis Steel | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Nice Tune | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 4 | Oldies But Goodies | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | More Abundance | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Robey’s Boy | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Mongo Nation | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 2 | Cobh | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Papal Law | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Hip Hop | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | More to Adore | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Lady Vicki | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | War Queen (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Hot Friesia | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | Bells Irish Fancy | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Miss Bob | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Star Flare | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Real Lefty | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Sweetly Maid | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Scarfree | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Miss Jane | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.