Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, October 21, 2018

October 21, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Moneigh Moproblems 1.40 1.8 3-1
7 7 Somebody 3.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Union Wise 4.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Ajwibah 4.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Tom’s Music 20.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Cain V and D C 6.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Flat Out Jayvien 30.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Dig Deeper 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Moviemaker 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Aspen Summer 1.80 SCRATCH
9 9 Tapin Through Life 12.00 SCRATCH
4A 4 Circleofcompetence 2.50 SCRATCH
6A 4 Merger Arbitrage 2.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Asticou Trail 5.00 2.4 5-1
11 6 Kingdom’s Queen 8.00 3.6 7-1
10 5 Stylishly 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 3 Grayjavu 20.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Know Point Given 30.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Point to Remember 1.60 SCRATCH
4 3 Sanavi 2.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Storm Prophet 4.00 2.9 6-1
6 5 Zing Zang 5.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Sargeant Drive 8.00 4.3 8-1
5 4 Hollywood Strike 6.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Minit Maus 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Jot 6.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Niko’s Dream 3.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Mike’s Girl 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Button Candy 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Gunboat Diplomacy 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Street Chamber 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Valencia Vale 12.00 SCRATCH
8 4 Saloon Girl 4.00 2.1 4-1
6 3 Winifred J 6.00 2.7 5-1
16 8 Thatza Prankster 4.00 4.6 9-1
12 5 Mz Seb Pat 10.00 4.8 9-1
3 1 Whodunnitandran 15.00 5.2 10-1
15 7 Lem Me Have It 8.00 5.3 10-1
14 6 Fight On Lucy 15.00 6 11-1
4 2 Antiguan Princess 20.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ribbonite 1.40 SCRATCH
3 3 Wilburnmoney 2.50 SCRATCH
8 6 Awsum Roar 1.60 1.9 4-1
5 3 Enthusiastic Gal 3.00 2.7 5-1
7 5 Esther the Queen 5.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Blue Atlas 4.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Grandpa’s Arianna 6.00 4.9 9-1
9 7 It’s Two Hot Benny 10.00 5.1 10-1
6 4 Banty’s Girl 15.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Carlisle Belle 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Lune Lake 6.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Gentle Annie 15.00 SCRATCH
5A 4 Samara 1.60 2.6 5-1
12A 11 Jazzy Juder 1.60 3.9 7-1
9 8 Tiz Priceless 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 5 Bella’s Game 4.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Rock Ave. Road 20.00 5.4 10-1
8 7 Truly Courageous 12.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Forever Daisy 20.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Merlins Muse 12.00 6.8 13-1
7 6 Shanghai Dreams 6.00 6.9 13-1
10 9 Third Card Down 20.00 8 15-1
11 10 Discreet Cathy 30.00 9.1 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bigsouljoel 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Flatexcel 3.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Carmine’s Honor 3.50 3 6-1
9 8 Nolinski 3.50 3.1 6-1
3 3 Altesino 5.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Crea’s Bklyn Law 4.50 4.7 9-1
1 1 Pirate’s Treasure 12.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Tiffany’s Vision 20.00 6.6 12-1
7 7 The I Man 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Athenia S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Candy Store (IRE) 15.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Mythical Mission 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 New Money Honey 3.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Hawksmoor (IRE) 5.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 Inflexibility 3.50 3.7 7-1
9 7 On Leave 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Rymska (FR) 4.50 4.9 9-1
4 4 Indian Blessing (GB) 8.00 5.3 10-1
7 6 Pas de Soucis (IRE) 10.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Best Performance 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Madame Barbarian 30.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Goodbye Brockley 6.00 SCRATCH
4 2 Ferdinanda 4.00 2.5 5-1
6 4 Competitionofideas 2.50 3 6-1
5 3 Jaunt 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 5 Fairy Link 15.00 4.4 8-1
3 1 Filfila 5.00 4.8 9-1
9 6 Sweet Sting 10.00 5.2 10-1
10 7 Aikenetta 20.00 5.8 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.