October 20, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Stakes) – Maryland Million And/or Registered Maryland-bred Distaff Starter H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
11 |
No More Excuses |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hashtag Selfie |
3.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Truly Hot |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Include Gold |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Unbridled Escape |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Chobee Girl |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
11 |
10 |
Stormy Mama |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Proud Maid Marian |
15.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Value Added |
20.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gimme Kimmy |
20.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
1 |
1 |
Nancy R |
20.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
9 |
9 |
Northern Prancer |
20.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Stakes) – Maryland Million And/or Registered Maryland Bred H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Include a Check |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Participate |
1.80 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Capucine |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Unbridled Escape |
10.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Borino |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Oh So Lovely |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
11 |
11 |
Eyerish Inspired |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bring Me Answers |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
8 |
8 |
Miss Gray |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
12 |
12 |
Little Sister |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
3 |
3 |
Arbutus |
30.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
4 |
4 |
Running Tide |
30.00 |
10.3 |
20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Maryland Million Distaff H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Majestic Reason |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Enchanted Ghost |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
7 |
Crabcakes |
0.60 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
My Magician |
8.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Anna’s Bandit |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Item |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Up Hill Battle |
20.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Cee Bee Gee Bee |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Wowwhatabrat |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Maryland Million Ladies S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Adult in the Room |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Irish Access |
3.50 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Peach of a Gal |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Ghoul’s Night Out |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
My Sistersledge |
1.40 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Saint Main Event |
4.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Complete St. |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Love’s Legend |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Magician’s Vanity |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Forgiving |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Penitence |
15.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
My Vixen |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Hot Friesia |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Maryland Million Sprint H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
More Abundance |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Rockinn On Bye |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
No More Talk |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Stomp Dance |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Ballivor |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Whirlin Curlin |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Smile for Eternity |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Laki |
1.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Lewisfield |
0.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Onemoregreattime |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
7 |
Stolen Love |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Greatbullsoffire |
15.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rol Again Question |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Chinquapin |
30.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Maryland Million Nursery S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
14 |
14 |
Alwaysmining |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
V. I. P. Ticket |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Stormin Hongkong |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Grand River |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Seany P |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
3 |
Scrap Copper |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
1 |
Sky Magician |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
11 |
9 |
Follow the Dog |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
10 |
8 |
Hall Pass |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
9 |
7 |
Tappin Cat |
8.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
8 |
6 |
Outofthepark |
10.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
4 |
2 |
Lippi Lorenzo |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
7 |
5 |
He’s Not Curly |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
6 |
4 |
Known Quantity |
15.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Stakes) – Maryland Million And/or Registered Maryland-bred Turf Starter H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Zen’s Land |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
10 |
10 |
Here’s to Mike |
3.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
No Knock Raid |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Senor Louie |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
9 |
9 |
Martini Kid |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
11 |
11 |
Redeemed Gentleman |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Cannon’s Roar |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Publishanditerate |
20.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lon’s True Passion |
30.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
7 |
7 |
Barin |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
5 |
5 |
Broad Expanse |
30.00 |
8.7 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Stakes) – Maryland Million And/or Registered Maryland Bred Starter H.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Gamblin |
3.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Helloitsme |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
14 |
14 |
Worth His Salt |
5.00 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
10 |
10 |
T Sizzle |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
13 |
13 |
Daystrike |
12.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Who Broke the Bank |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Visual Effect |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sebray |
15.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
12 |
12 |
Be Back |
15.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
A True Gentleman |
20.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
6 |
6 |
Glory Hound |
20.00 |
10.1 |
19-1 |
8 |
8 |
Who Stole My Sock |
30.00 |
10.3 |
20-1 |
7 |
7 |
The Iron Bank |
20.00 |
10.3 |
20-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sventastic |
20.00 |
11.2 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Maryland Million Lassie S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
13 |
Destiny Over Fate |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
My Star Potential |
2.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Miss Philly Dilly |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Better Yet |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Knock Out Kid |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
12 |
12 |
Knitted Gloves |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
10 |
10 |
Belial |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Little Miss Raelyn |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Who U Gonna Call |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Little Cat Gee |
12.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
5 |
5 |
Yours to Keep |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
7 |
7 |
Barbsgray Lion |
30.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
11 |
11 |
Zig |
30.00 |
9.5 |
18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Maryland Million Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
No More Talk |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
John Jones |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Smokin Hot Factor |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Beltway Bob |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
9 |
Phlash Phelps |
1.60 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Talk Show Man |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Grandiflora |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Daniel Le Deux |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Willy d’Rocket |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Somekindofmagician |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
10 |
8 |
No Bull Addiction |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Love You Much |
15.00 |
7.1 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Elementary |
15.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
1 |
1 |
Crouchelli |
10.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Maryland Million Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Belfour |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Bonus Points |
1.40 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Hammerin Aamer |
1.80 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Admiral Blue |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Clubman |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Saratoga Bob |
3.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Flash McCaul |
6.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pal Cal |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Crouchelli |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dothat Dance |
12.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Goodluckjohnathan |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Legend’s Hope |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
Tattooed |
20.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
3 |
Star Seed Child |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
St. Cherubin |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
8 |
Dendrobia |
2.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
2 |
1 |
Baltimore Babe |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Spring Run |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
6 |
Louise |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1A |
10 |
Awesome Jazz |
5.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
5 |
3 |
Darter |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
7 |
5 |
Oddseverinurfavor |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
11 |
9 |
Tilaka |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
3 |
2 |
Old Line Malibu |
20.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
6 |
4 |
Buddha Kai |
30.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.