October 19, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Queen of the Track | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Archana | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Discreet Diva | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Elusively | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cat Holic | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Disco Tale | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mercer Island | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Popular Kid | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Crown the Kitten | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Plum Dandy | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Muchos Besos | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beantown Boys | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Agronomo | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | R B Eye | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stay in Yo Lane | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Red Clem | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Swamp Souffle | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jonathantoquick | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Baja Warrior | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lifesbeengoodsofar | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Laucala Island | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Trojan Spirit | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sellwood | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stonegate | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cupid’s Claws | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Malibu Magic | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Holly Blame | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | My Farmer | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pioneerof the West | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sense of Glory | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Banze No Oeste (BRZ) | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Holland Road | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tasunke Witco | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Comma Sister | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alsatian | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Starting Bloc | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Soul | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gain Ground | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kalei | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hot American | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King Caymus | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Psychedelicat | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blame Joe | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quad | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pacific Song | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jersey’s Heat | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Jump the Tracks | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Giddymeister | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucky Pegasus | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vegas Itch | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Here Is Happy | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Truffalino | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Ask the Customer | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Gallantlystreaming (IRE) | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | True Validity | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Stormy D | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Velvet Queen | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Rather Nosy | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Amatara | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Apples Arch | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Diva in Charge | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Out of Balance | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Autumn Isabella | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.