October 19, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Smart Rags | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 10 | Riteamontofmschief | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | What a Run | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Throw the Deuce | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sandy Lane | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kid Jeter | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rule Yourself | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sadler Bay | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | I’ve Gotta Plan | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Keeneway | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Meldon | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Look Within | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Brusilov | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Enayat Alsalam | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Dig Deeper | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3A | 3 | Pantyhose | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9C | 7 | Awesome Class | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11C | 11 | Bazooka Girl | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Monhegan | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Poseidon’s Bluff | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Tapit Together | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Benevida | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Rain On The Dune (GB) | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Devilinthedetails | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Pepper Pot | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Stereo Viewing (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4A | 3 | Bayou’s Legacy | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Goldmakesmesmile | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Love Me Forever | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sacred Walk | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | So Good | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Painter’s Pride | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | The Walk | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Edify | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Telling Warrior | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Huyana | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Nyx Warrior | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Madame Milan | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I’m Pretty Strong | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Candy Dance | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stormologist | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dothraki Sea | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bodega Bay | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Killer Kitten | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Stay On Point | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sparty | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Lil Commissioner | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Inchesky (IRE) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Conquest Falcon | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fevered Affair | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Glad Moon (GER) | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Animal Kingston | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Smash Williams | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 9 | Conscripted | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Gilgimesh | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Our Dominator | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Game Night | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | River Deep | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Even Thunder | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tour de Force | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saratoga Jack | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Final Prospect | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Top of Mind | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Marengo Road | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fergie’s Lady | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Greasedlightning | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Avilles | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mrs. Rembrandt | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stellar Trick | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jilted Runaway | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Letmeslidebyyou | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Johnny Banks | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Relentless Lion | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Novus | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Catauga County | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Jones Taxi | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Sofranko | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Seattle Ric | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bob in Our Midst | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mojo’s Louie Cat | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Crush It | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Quality Choice | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | What a Hoot | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Second Encore | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Secret Cape | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hunt Me Down | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Fellow | 50.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gingeresk | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amazon Lizzie | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holiday Magician | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lorelei | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Joyful Noise | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | On the Hop | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | La Zoraya | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kresses | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Forres Lily | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Taxable Goods | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Big City Blues | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Toe Curlin’ Kiss | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Belfast Cowboy (IRE) | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Jump Jive an Wail | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Can Do Anything | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Banjo Bill | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chargin Storm | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tap the Moment | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Brothersledge | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chateau de Vizille | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 15 | 11 | Don’t Poke the Cat | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Crusader | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Barley Twist | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Done Acting | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 10 | Posterity | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.