October 18, 2018 Keeneland Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Yankton | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Edition | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Believeinholidays | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Soul of the Hero | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stuart Hall | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Makeamericagreat | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sassy King | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hubbadahubbadaboom | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Watertonian | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Holding Fast | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Fu | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Match Play | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sparkys Surprise | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flat Out Fast | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kool Aid Girl | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Kindness | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Drossie | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sun Dress | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wood Not Mind | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Katie the Cutie | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Native Wonder | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gingermore | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rumandice | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mucho Mas | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Philanthropic | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mississippi Coast | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gladiola | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gold Credit | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blunt Force | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Skip and a Hop | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Harry | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Commanding Candy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Accoustical | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Souper Wish | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Knight Disruptor | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Riverboat Gambler | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Laser Loop | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Enqueteur | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Extirpator | 30.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tabia | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | K Choice | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Dance Rhythms | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Fairyland | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Factorofwon | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Cherry Lodge | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Decant | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 9 | Soul Singer | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Parol | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Tudox Lifting Off | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Bixby Lou | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | Rontos Lily | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Pastime | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Bet She Wins | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Whole Scoop | 30.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Sara Sea | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sense of War | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Garden Affair | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Winandyourin Gin | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Folk Legend | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eres Tu | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Class Action | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Patsy | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Matapan | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Sycamore S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Teodoro (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Cooptado (ARG) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Arklow | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Oscar Nominated | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bigger Picture | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Campaign | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Zulu Alpha | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Some in Tieme (BRZ) | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Final Copy | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Can’thelpbelieving (IRE) | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Nessy | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Slickly Done | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Harlan Strong (ARG) | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Seeker | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Chaps | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Unmatchable | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Franknjymme | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tringale | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gambit | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | K Star | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Examiner | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Ukuru | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Presidential Tweet | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Troubling Moon | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.