Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, October 17, 2018

October 17, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Proper Romance 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Blue Houdini 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Irish Goodbye 2.50 2.8 5-1
6 6 Colonel’s Pride 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 R. V.’s Express 8.00 4 8-1
2 2 French Command 8.00 4.5 8-1
10 9 Delicious 5.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Louisiana Lion 6.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Simba’s Pride 10.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 First to Score 8.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Campus Leader 30.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Penny Coin Toss 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Perfect Giant 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Angel d’Oro 3.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Silver’s Swan Song 4.50 3.7 7-1
3 3 Pretty Production 6.00 4 8-1
7 7 Fuhr a Slam 4.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Victory Seeker 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Hunky Dory 6.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Whitebutton 30.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 She’s Undawnted 12.00 6.6 13-1
8 8 That’s a Song 20.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Custom for Corales 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Honest Smile 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Toga Dance 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Waft 1.60 2.3 4-1
4 4 Majino 2.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Zarb’s Winnie 10.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Toshita Forever 10.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 French Roast 5.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Strong Argument 20.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Delightful Soul 15.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Last Bullet 20.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Bulletsandbourbon 20.00 7.7 14-1
10 10 Emery’s Dream 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Lucky Lydgate 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Meraki 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Raising a Star 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Wildcat Friendship 2.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Bluegrass Punch 3.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Primary Patrick 8.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Ben’s Magic Stone 10.00 5.2 10-1
10 9 Stihl Harbor 3.50 5.3 10-1
8 8 G. A. Betting 10.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Mundo Mutadda 20.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Bitsy’s Half 30.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Man of Bethel 30.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Sharp Memories 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 I’ll Raise You 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Onarock 1.80 1.8 3-1
3 3 Brutalize 10.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Ronda’s Custom 4.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Buckets 5.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Sir Etney John 8.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Dancing Bow 10.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Effies Lil Man 15.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Best Little Man 10.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Cowboy Ridge 30.00 7.2 14-1
9 9 Song and a G 12.00 7.9 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lookout Mountain 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Off Cycle 12.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Desert Madam 1.60 2.4 4-1
2 1 Miss Sid N Say 4.00 2.6 5-1
3 2 Charzee Baby 8.00 3.9 7-1
5 4 Shea’s Lil Shug 5.00 4 8-1
7 6 Wild Appointment 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 5 Best Guess 12.00 5.7 11-1
8 7 Camrynsbigtimebaby 10.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Rebel Gentleman 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Witch Hunt 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Darylslittleengine 5.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Jobay 10.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Cale’s Gold 4.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 It’s Mike’s Turn 12.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Steppin’ Outonher 10.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 D’money Honey 6.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Mighty Intimidator 10.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Buxton Boy 20.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Gary 12.00 7.1 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Charlie’s Schiller 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Cap Rock Miner 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Where Y’at Joe Joe 2.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Shane Doan 4.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Celerity 4.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Back Stage Boy 4.50 4.9 9-1
4 4 Luke’s Cajun Star 10.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Heartsetsmeonfire 30.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Mistake Present 8.00 6.6 13-1
8 8 Stormin Away 20.00 6.8 13-1
9 9 Stand and Cheer 12.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Personal Double 30.00 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Kehron’s Creed 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Cinnamon Diva 8.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Blue Suade Guitar 2.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Thegrayspider 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 8 Bionic Butterfly 3.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Runaway Romance 8.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Toodaloo to You 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Blessed Bloom 10.00 5.1 10-1
7 6 Waitin On the Gold 15.00 6.5 12-1
8 7 Wildcat Springs 15.00 6.9 13-1
11 10 Kodiak Sky 12.00 7.5 14-1
10 9 Bevos Winch 20.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 A Flash of Copper 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Social Cat 8.00 SCRATCH
9 9 My Man Unk 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Nomo Ron 2.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Dr. Boehrer 3.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Flashy Brew 8.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Lord Colliery 4.50 3.7 7-1
7 7 Gin and Jag 10.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Flashyboy Bobb 20.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Smooth Current 12.00 6 11-1
8 8 Rahfees Man 12.00 6.6 12-1
10 9 Easter Snap 15.00 7.8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.