October 17, 2018 Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hope Drive | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Country Squire | 1.20 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Curlin’s New Moon | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Support Our Cause | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ninja Boys | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Clonedsimmard | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | War Cabinet | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pivotal Connection (GB) | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Paname (FR) | 1.40 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Semper Sententiae | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | So Charming | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vortex Road | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Remarqued | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Southeast | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blinded Vision | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Candymankando | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hokulea | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gio Lucky | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Buss the Bell | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Margie Cat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Brass Ring | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Long Story Short | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Bramble Bay | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | On Strike | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Karabessa | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | No Limit Babe | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Musical Lute | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Suba Lou | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Retro Street | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Sister Emily | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Golden Vale | 1.40 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scripted | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stars Wilburn | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mazmania | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Overbook | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Impazible Creek | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Speed Khaleesi | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Fast Getaway | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Andronikos | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Outrageous Bet | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Jupiter Rising | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Not So Quiet Man | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Sparky | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Louisiana Lady | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Canarsie Kid | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Source Control | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Wushu Warrior | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 4 | Five Star Bunt | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Foolish Ghost | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Mystical Song | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ascot Walk | 1.40 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pink Sands | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Barrier Island | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Supercommittee | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hail | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nth Degree | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Anne Dupree | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Unpredictable | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Eagle Pass | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Way Early | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vintage Matters | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tactical Pursuit (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Winter Union | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | War Chest | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Show Court (IRE) | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | King of Spades | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Koala Bear | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Killala Bay | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Magnetron | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Time Expired | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Our American Star | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Cross Multiply | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Riendo | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Thefinalcrazydude | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Good Old Boy | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shuffling Madness | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Powerstroke | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Tammany Giant | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lunar Cycle | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | No Worries Mate | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Martini Lane | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Valmont | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.